Willow Creek near Crooks
1.9 mi- Level
- 3.8 ft
- Flow
- under 1 cfs
Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 5:50 PM CDT at KFSD
Overcast and 50°10°, 9°5° warmer than a typical Oct 24, rain ~7–10 PM (61%).
Today: low 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°), high 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°).
Now 50°10°
Cloudy · Feels like 46°8°
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 83% | 98% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 83% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 80% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 60%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 83% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Rain | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 83% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Showers | 48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 30%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Drizzle | 48°9° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°) | 46°8° | 30%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Drizzle | 48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 30%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 86% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Showers | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 86% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 83% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 80%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 82% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 36°2° | 70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 89% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 86% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 79% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 11a | Showers | 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 76% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 12p | Drizzle | 48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 43°6° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 74% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 71% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 68% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 68% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 63% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 61% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°) | 44°7° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h | 61% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 65% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 68% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 76% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 73% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 37°3° | 50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 76% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Showers | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 79% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Drizzle | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 35°2° | 80%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Drizzle | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 35°2° | 80%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Drizzle | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 34°1° | 90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 89% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Drizzle | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 33°1° | 90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 93% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Drizzle | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 32°0° | 80%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Drizzle | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 32°0° | 90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Drizzle | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 31°−1° | 90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Rain | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 30°−1° | 90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Rain | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°) | 31°−1° | 90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Rain | 43°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 35°2° | 90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 89% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 11a | Rain | 45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 82% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 12p | Rain | 46°8° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 83% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 1p | Rain | 47°8° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 79% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2p | Showers | 48°9° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 77% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3p | Drizzle | 50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 74% | 100% | 1 |
| Mon 4p | Showers | 50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 74% | 99% | 1 |
| Mon 5p | Showers | 50°10° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 74% | 97% | 1 |
Evening
6 PM–midnight
70% chance · 0.28 in7.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
70% chance · 0.4 in10 mm
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Rain showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 42. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
80% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
90% chance · 1.3 in33 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 51. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 38. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
90% chance · 1.3 in33 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
90% chance · 1.1 in28 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
80% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
70% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 52. East northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Night: Rain showers before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers between 7pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 66°19°).
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance · 0.21 in5.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
71% chance of rain, high 66°, low 42°.
78% chance of rain, high 51°, low 38°, cooling off.
90% chance of rain, high 52°, low 41°.
Highs 56–68°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FSD) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 74% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 10 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 9°5° warmer than typical.
On average 10°6° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Crooks weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:52 AM, sunset 6:29 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 100% cover).
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing