Observed 3:35 PM CDT at KONL

Fairfax, SD weather

Overcast and 47°8°, rain ~5–6 PM (54%).

Forecasts agree

Now 47°8°

Cloudy · Feels like 42°5°

Feels like: 41°5°; Wind chill from 14 mph22 km/h wind · air 47°8°
Wind: 14 mph22 km/h; From the north. 58–14 mph22 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 1Low; Low all day (peak 1)
Pressure: 30.34 inHg1027 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

32°18° cooler than this time yesterday (80°27° then, 47°8° now)

Good hours for

Rain until 7 PM (50%)
Dry break tonight 7 PM–midnight
Rain tonight from midnight (100%, 7.8 in198 mm)
Low 41°5° tomorrow at 9 AM

This afternoonNear 49°9° · Rain all afternoon (50%)
TonightNear 46°8° · Rain 6–7 PM (50%)
Tomorrow morningNear 44°7° · Rain all morning (100%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 47°8° · Rain all afternoon (70%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Rain all night (100%)
Monday morningUp to 44°7° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (90%)
Monday afternoonNear 47°8° · Rain all afternoon (100%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Showers	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NNW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	68%	100%	1
Sat 5p	Showers	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	68%	100%	1
Sat 6p	Showers	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	43°6°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	71%	99%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	71%	100%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	100%	0
Sat 9p	Drizzle	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	46°8°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	68%	100%	0
Sat 10p	Drizzle	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	47°8°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	68%	100%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	46°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	100%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	100%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	40%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	100%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	73%	100%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	79%	100%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	100%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	40°4°	80%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	82%	100%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	80%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	89%	100%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	100%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	100%	0
Sun 8a	Rain	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	38°3°	90%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	100%	0
Sun 9a	Rain	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	36°2°	80%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	100%	0
Sun 10a	Showers	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	39°4°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	100%	0
Sun 11a	Drizzle	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	40°4°	40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	96%	100%	0
Sun 12p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	93%	100%	0
Sun 1p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	70%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	93%	100%	0
Sun 2p	Showers	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	70%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	93%	100%	1
Sun 3p	Showers	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	50%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	96%	100%	0
Sun 4p	Showers	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	50%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	93%	100%	0
Sun 5p	Drizzle	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	60%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	86%	100%	0
Sun 6p	Drizzle	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	41°5°	80%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	93%	100%	0
Sun 7p	Drizzle	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	41°5°	40%, 0.19 in4.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	93%	100%	0
Sun 8p	Drizzle	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	40%, 0.19 in4.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	96%	100%	0
Sun 9p	Drizzle	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	36°2°	70%, 0.19 in4.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	100%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Showers	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	36°2°	70%, 0.19 in4.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	100%	100%	0
Sun 11p	Rain	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	35°2°	80%, 0.19 in4.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Drizzle	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	35°2°	100%, 0.19 in4.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 1a	Drizzle	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	35°2°	90%, 0.4 in10 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 2a	Drizzle	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	33°1°	90%, 0.4 in10 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 3a	Rain	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	33°1°	100%, 0.4 in10 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 4a	Rain	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	33°1°	100%, 0.4 in10 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 5a	Rain	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	32°0°	100%, 0.4 in10 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 6a	Showers	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	32°0°	90%, 0.4 in10 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 7a	Rain	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	32°0°	90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 8a	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	29°−2°	90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 9a	Rain	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)	32°0°	90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 10a	Rain	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 11a	Rain	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 12p	Rain	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	38°3°	90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	96%	100%	0
Mon 1p	Showers	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	40°4°	100%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	96%	100%	0
Mon 2p	Showers	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	100%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	96%	100%	0
Mon 3p	Showers	48°9° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	100%, 0.29 in7.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	96%	100%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Showers. High 57°14°, low 41°5°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 49°9°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  80% chance · 0.42 in11 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of rain showers. Cloudy. High near 57, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. North northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: Rain showers. Cloudy. Low around 41, with temperatures rising to around 44 overnight. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
57°14°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Wind
25 mph40 km/h, gusts 43 mph69 km/h
UV peak
2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 48°9°, low 37°3°. Rain 0.52 in13 mm, 100% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 42°6°
  100% chance · 0.43 in11 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 48°9°
  70% chance · 0.67 in17 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 45°7°
  80% chance · 1.1 in27 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 40°4°
  100% chance · 2.2 in56 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Night: Rain showers. Cloudy. Low around 37, with temperatures rising to around 40 overnight. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
46°8°–48°9°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
Monday, Oct 26. Thunderstorms. High 49°9°, low 35°2°. Storms 1.4 in37 mm, 100% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 38°3°
  90% chance · 1.9 in47 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 48°9°
  100% chance · 1.2 in32 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  100% chance · 0.32 in8.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  50% chance
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers before 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 49. East northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. North northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 58°14°, low 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–59°15°
Low, likely
36°2°–42°6°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 36 mph57 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 48°9°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 51°11°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.24 in6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–58°14°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 45°7°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 53°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
44°7°–66°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–54°12°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 56 mph90 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Sunny. High 55°13°, low 43°6°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–61°16°
Low, likely
38°3°–49°9°
Wind
30 mph48 km/h, gusts 54 mph86 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
54% chance of rain, high 57°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
95% chance of rain, high 48°, low 37°, cooling off.
Monday
100% chance of rain, high 49°, low 35°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 54–66°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FSD) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Niobrara River near Butte

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.0 ft

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Keya Paha River near Naper

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.3 ft
Flow: 100 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Missouri River at Fort Randall Dam

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1344 ft

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Niobrara River near Spencer

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6.8 ft
Flow: 29,000 cfs

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 38 min; Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 38 min less
Golden hour: 5:59–6:56 PM; Morning 7:42–8:39 AM
Blue hour: 6:56–7:07 PM; Morning 7:31–7:42 AM; first light 7:31 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 100% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:14 AM · rises 5:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Fairfax. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Fairfax, SD weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Niobrara River near Butte

Keya Paha River near Naper

Missouri River at Fort Randall Dam

Niobrara River near Spencer

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon