Observed 3:35 AM MDT at KSPF

Lead, SD weather

Overcast and 39°4°, 9°5° colder than a typical Oct 24, gusts to 37 mph60 km/h today.

Mostly agree

Now 39°4°

Cloudy · Feels like 30°−1°

Feels like: 30°−1°; Wind chill from 18 mph29 km/h wind · air 39°4°
Wind: 18 mph29 km/hgusts 34 mph55 km/h; From the west. Easing to 5 mph8 km/h by 1 PM
Dew point: 30°−1°; Dry · down to 21°−6° by 9 AM
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

20°11° cooler than this time yesterday (59°15° then, 39°4° now)

Good hours for

Gusts to 42 mph68 km/h until 11 AM
Below freezing today 6–9 AM (low 31°−1°)
High 44°7° today at 3 PM
Rain tomorrow from noon (70%, 0.22 in5.6 mm)
Below freezing tomorrow night from 11 PM (low 32°0°)

TonightNear 33°1° · rain chance 10% · gusts to 42 mph68 km/h · Cloudy
This morningUp to 38°3° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · gusts to 37 mph60 km/h · Partly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 44°7° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 34°1° by 11 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 37°3° by 10 AM · rain chance 40% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 37°3° · Rain all afternoon (60%)
Tomorrow nightNear 34°1° · Rain all night (70%) · freezing, low 32°0°

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 42 mph67 km/h	92%	94%	0
Sat 5a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)	22°−6°	10%	16 mph26 km/h from NW, gusts 37 mph60 km/h	92%	97%	0
Sat 6a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 32°0°)	21°−6°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NW, gusts 37 mph59 km/h	95%	98%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 31°−1°)	20°−7°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NW, gusts 36 mph57 km/h	90%	90%	0
Sat 8a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 31°−1°)	21°−6°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NW, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	78%	64%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 33°1°)	24°−4°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NW, gusts 31 mph51 km/h	61%	12%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	45%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	34%	0%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	34°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	26%	0%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	24%	0%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	22%	4%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	21%	20%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	23%	23%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	25%	64%	0
Sat 6p	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	29%	67%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	34%	70%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	36%	75%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	36%	78%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	40%	74%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	41%	80%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	41%	81%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 37°3°)	35°2°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	40%	72%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly cloudy	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	35°2°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	40%	59%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly cloudy	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	35°2°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	41%	49%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	43%	69%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	43%	84%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	33°1°	40%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	49%	91%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	40%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	53%	96%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	40%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	56%	99%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	33°1°	40%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	56%	100%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	40%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	56%	100%	0
Sun 11a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	33°1°	40%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	56%	100%	0
Sun 12p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	32°0°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	56%	100%	0
Sun 1p	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	33°1°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	57%	100%	0
Sun 2p	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	34°1°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	57%	100%	0
Sun 3p	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	35°2°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	59%	100%	1
Sun 4p	Snow	39°4° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	35°2°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	62%	100%	0
Sun 5p	Snow	36°2° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	59%	100%	0
Sun 6p	Snow	35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	66%	100%	0
Sun 7p	Snow	33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	89%	100%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	96%	100%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	92%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	30°−1°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	92%	99%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	92%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	92%	100%	0
Mon 1a	Snow	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	92%	99%	0
Mon 2a	Snow	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	92%	100%	0
Mon 3a	Snow	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	92%	100%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 29°−2°. Typical 54°12° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 45, with temperatures falling to around 40 in the afternoon. Wind chill values as low as 20. Northwest wind 3 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 29, with temperatures rising to around 33 overnight. West wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Low, likely
29°−2°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 32°0°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 61 mph98 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 41°5°, low 30°−1°. Typical 54°12° / 32°0°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 39°4°
  60% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 33°1°
  70% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 32°0°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Snow likely before 3pm, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy. High near 41, with temperatures falling to around 36 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 30. Southeast wind around 6 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
37°3°–41°5°
Low, likely
30°−1°–33°1°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 32°0°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
Monday, Oct 26. Heavy snow. High 38°3°, low 31°−1°. Typical 53°12° / 32°0°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Heavy snow, 32°0°
  60% chance · 0.9 in2.2 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 34°1°
  60% chance · 0.6 in1.5 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Fog, 31°0°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before 1pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy. High near 38, with temperatures falling to around 36 in the afternoon. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
34°1°–38°3°
Low, likely
29°−2°–32°0°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 32°0°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 53°12°, low 34°1°. Typical 53°12° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
Night: A slight chance of rain before midnight, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–55°13°
Low, likely
31°−1°–35°2°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 32°0°
Wind
23 mph36 km/h, gusts 65 mph105 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 50°10°, low 33°1°. Typical 52°11° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 53°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Low, likely
31°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 31°−1°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 48 mph77 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 54°12°, low 36°2°. Typical 52°11° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–62°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–43°6°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 31°−1°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 54°12°, low 43°6°. Typical 52°11° / 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–63°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 31°−1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 37°3°. Typical 51°11° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
44°7°–58°14°
Low, likely
32°0°–43°6°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 48°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 51°11° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
39°4°–58°14°
Low, likely
29°−2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 41°5°, low 33°1°. Typical 51°11° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 10% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Low, likely
26°−3°–38°3°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 30°−1°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 45°, low 29°.
Tomorrow
62% chance of rain, high 41°, low 30°, cooling off.
Monday
51% chance of snow, high 38°, low 31°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 41–54°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (UNR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Whitewood Creek at Deadwood

2.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.4 ft

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

Whitewood Creek at Deadwood

3.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4449 ft

Reading from Sat 2:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Spearfish Creek near Lead

6.2 mi

Level: 7.5 ft
Flow: 21 cfs

Reading from Sat 3 AM · NWS gauge page

Annie Creek near Lead

6.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.0 ft
Flow: under 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 64% less heating than a typical week.

This week 58Typical 160

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 12 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

SPEARFISH · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 9°5° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−1°SunOct 18
−4°−2°MonOct 19
+12°+6°TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Lead weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 34 min; Losing 2 min 49 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 43 min less
Golden hour: 5:15–6:14 PM; Morning 7:03–8:02 AM
Blue hour: 6:14–6:25 PM; Morning 6:52–7:03 AM; first light 6:52 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 96% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:36 AM · rises 4:55 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Lead. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,100 ft, 4 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lead, SD weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Whitewood Creek at Deadwood

Whitewood Creek at Deadwood

Spearfish Creek near Lead

Annie Creek near Lead

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon