Elm River near Frederick
14 mi- Level
- 5.2 ft
- Flow
- 4 cfs
Reading from Sat 5:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 6:25 PM CDT at KABR
Sunny and 48°9°, 16°9° warmer than a typical Oct 24.
Today: low 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 40°4°), high 66°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°).
Now 48°9°
Sunny
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 6p | Mostly cloudy | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 41% | 61% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 42% | 81% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°) | 41°5° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 49% | 35% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Partly cloudy | 43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 53% | 47% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 41°5° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°) | 36°2° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 54% | 40% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Partly cloudy | 39°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 52% | 49% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Partly cloudy | 37°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 33°1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 54% | 53% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°) | 33°1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 54% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 32°0° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 54% | 25% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Partly cloudy | 36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 32°0° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 54% | 53% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 56% | 63% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Mostly clear | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 56% | 47% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Mostly cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 58% | 49% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 58% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 32°0° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 52% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 50% | 87% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 48% | 90% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°) | 41°5° | 5% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 45% | 96% | 1 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 10% | 8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 42% | 99% | 2 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 39% | 100% | 3 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 37% | 100% | 3 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 37% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 37% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 39% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 41% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Drizzle | 48°9° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 46% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Drizzle | 45°7° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 53% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Drizzle | 45°7° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 55% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Drizzle | 44°7° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 58% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 60% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Rain | 41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 35°2° | 20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 65% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 34°1° | 0%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 67% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 32°0° | 5%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 67% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 31°−1° | 20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 70% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 30°−1° | 40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 67% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Rain | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°) | 27°−3° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 69% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 40°4°) | 20°−7° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 81% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°) | 23°−5° | 70%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 75% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Cloudy | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 24°−4° | 70%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 72% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 25°−4° | 70%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 72% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Cloudy | 36°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 26°−3° | 70%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 75% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 11a | Snow | 37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 28°−2° | 70%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 75% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 12p | Snow | 37°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 27°−3° | 70%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 75% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 1p | Snow | 38°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°) | 29°−2° | 90%, 0.3 in7.6 mm | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph36 km/h | 76% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2p | Snow | 38°3° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°) | 29°−2° | 90%, 0.3 in7.6 mm | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 79% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3p | Snow | 39°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°) | 30°−1° | 90%, 0.3 in7.6 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h | 76% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 4p | Snow | 39°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°) | 30°−1° | 90%, 0.3 in7.6 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 79% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 5p | Snow | 38°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 29°−2° | 90%, 0.3 in7.6 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 85% | 100% | 0 |
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 31, with temperatures rising to around 34 overnight. North northwest wind 5 to 12 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.33 in8.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.36 in9.1 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Rain likely. Cloudy. Low around 30, with temperatures rising to around 36 overnight. East northeast wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
70% chance · 0.96 in24 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
90% chance · 1.7 in43 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
100% chance · 0.5 in1.1 cm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
90% chance · 0.16 in3.9 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Snow likely before 7am, then rain and snow likely between 7am and 10am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Northeast wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Night: Rain and snow before 7pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Northeast wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely before 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. West wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind around 9 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. West southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. West northwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: A chance of rain after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Dry, high 66°, low 31°.
40% chance of rain, high 50°, low 30°, cooling off.
87% chance of snow, high 39°, low 28°, cooling off.
Highs 47–57°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABR) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 5:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 5:45 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 74% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 2 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 32°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 16°9° warmer than typical.
On average 9°5° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Leola weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 8:04 AM, sunset 6:34 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 49% cover).
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing