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1 active weather alert

  • Wind Advisory

    Ends in 2 h 47 min

    When
    Until 10 AM CDT this morning.
    Where
    Hughes, Lyman, Sully, Campbell, Edmunds, McPherson, Potter, and Walworth Counties.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Aberdeen SD

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

    Impacts

    Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and a few power outages may result.

    Precautionary actions

    Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

    Areas: Campbell; McPherson; Walworth; Edmunds; Potter; Sully; Hughes; Lyman

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 6:45 AM CDT at KABR

Long Lake, SD weather

Mostly cloudy and 52°11°, gusts to 37 mph60 km/h today.

Today: low 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°), high 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 67°19°).

Forecasts differ

Now 52°11°

Mostly cloudy

Wind
12 mph19 km/h
From the northwest. Gusts to 37 mph60 km/h around 8 AM
Dew point
43°6°
Comfortable · down to 34°1° by 8 AM (dry)
UV index
0Low
Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Gusts to 37 mph60 km/h until 2 PM
  • High 50°10° today at 2 PM
  • Low 34°1° tonight at 5 AM
  • Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM
  1. This morningDown to 40°4° by 9 AM · rain chance 20% · gusts to 37 mph60 km/h · Mostly cloudy
  2. This afternoonNear 49°9° · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 43°6° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonNear 46°8° · Cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 33°1° by 5 AM · rain chance 30% · Cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 7aCloudy44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)34°1°20%26 mph42 km/h from WNW, gusts 36 mph58 km/h73%96%0
Sat 8aCloudy41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)30°−1°20%28 mph45 km/h from WNW, gusts 37 mph60 km/h76%93%0
Sat 9aCloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)29°−2°20%28 mph45 km/h from NW, gusts 36 mph58 km/h76%80%0
Sat 10aCloudy42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)32°0°0%28 mph45 km/h from NW, gusts 35 mph57 km/h68%62%1
Sat 11aCloudy46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)37°3°0%28 mph45 km/h from NW, gusts 31 mph50 km/h58%63%1
Sat 12pCloudy48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)40°4°0%25 mph40 km/h from NW, gusts 29 mph47 km/h49%63%2
Sat 1pSunny49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)42°6°0%22 mph35 km/h from NW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h44%11%3
Sat 2pMostly cloudy50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)44°7°0%20 mph32 km/h from NW, gusts 24 mph39 km/h42%24%3
Sat 3pPartly sunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)44°7°0%18 mph29 km/h from NW, gusts 22 mph35 km/h37%37%2
Sat 4pPartly sunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)44°7°0%16 mph26 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h34%35%1
Sat 5pSunny49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)44°7°0%14 mph23 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h34%35%1
Sat 6pSunny48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)43°6°0%10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h35%39%0
Sat 7pClear45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)41°5°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h41%39%0
Sat 8pMostly clear42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)38°3°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h46%22%0
Sat 9pPartly cloudy41°5° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)37°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h46%35%0
Sat 10pPartly cloudy39°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)35°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h50%47%0
Sat 11pPartly cloudy38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)34°1°0%6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h52%41%0
Sun 12aCloudy37°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)33°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h52%63%0
Sun 1aClear37°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)33°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h52%14%0
Sun 2aMostly cloudy36°2° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)32°0°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h54%49%0
Sun 3aCloudy35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)31°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h56%62%0
Sun 4aCloudy35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)31°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h56%65%0
Sun 5aCloudy34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h58%69%0
Sun 6aCloudy34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h58%76%0
Sun 7aCloudy34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)29°−2°0%6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h58%81%0
Sun 8aCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)26°−3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h63%83%0
Sun 9aCloudy36°2° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)31°−1°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h56%98%0
Sun 10aCloudy41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)36°2°0%8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h48%100%1
Sun 11aCloudy43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)38°3°0%9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h45%100%1
Sun 12pCloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)40°4°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h40%100%2
Sun 1pCloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)40°4°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h38%97%3
Sun 2pCloudy45°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)40°4°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h40%97%3
Sun 3pCloudy46°8° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)41°5°5%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h38%100%2
Sun 4pCloudy45°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)40°4°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h40%100%2
Sun 5pCloudy47°8° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)42°6°10%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h37%100%1
Sun 6pCloudy45°7° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)40°4°10%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h43%100%0
Sun 7pCloudy45°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)41°5°30%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h47%100%0
Sun 8pCloudy43°6° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)38°3°30%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h53%100%0
Sun 9pCloudy42°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)37°3°30%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h57%100%0
Sun 10pCloudy41°5° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)35°2°30%9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h59%100%0
Sun 11pCloudy40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)33°1°30%10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h62%100%0
Mon 12aRain39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)32°0°30%10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h64%100%0
Mon 1aRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)31°−1°20%12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h67%97%0
Mon 2aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)29°−2°20%13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h70%100%0
Mon 3aCloudy36°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)27°−3°20%14 mph23 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h69%100%0
Mon 4aCloudy35°2° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)25°−4°20%15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h72%96%0
Mon 5aCloudy33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)23°−5°20%15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h78%96%0
Mon 6aCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)21°−6°20%16 mph26 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h78%100%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 31°−1°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 42°6°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: A slight chance of rain before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Northwest wind 14 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 31, with temperatures rising to around 34 overnight. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    51°11°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    22 mph36 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 47°8°, low 30°−1°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 33°1°

      30% chance

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain after 7pm. Cloudy, with a low around 30. East wind 8 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    44°7°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 40°4°, low 28°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 35°2°

      60% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 35°2°

      80% chance · 0.6 in1.6 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 34°1°

      90% chance · 0.4 in1.1 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 34°1°

      90% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain before 7am, then a chance of rain and snow between 7am and 10am, then a chance of rain and snow between 10am and 1pm, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 40. East northeast wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Northeast wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    39°4°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    19 mph31 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 45°7°, low 34°1°. Typical 48°9° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Fog, 35°2°

      40% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 43°6°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 40°4°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely before 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. East wind 9 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Night: A chance of rain after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    44°7°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 52°11°, low 31°−1°. Typical 48°9° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 38°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 52. West southwest wind 15 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    52°11°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    24 mph39 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 52°11°, low 33°1°. Typical 47°8° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 53°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 45°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    50°10°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 52°11°, low 35°2°. Typical 47°8° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 42°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 49°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 52.

    Night: A chance of rain after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 48°9°. Typical 46°8° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 59°15°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      30% chance · 0.29 in7.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    51°11°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–52°11°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 43°6°. Typical 46°8° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    21 mph34 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 45°7° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    45°7° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    18 mph28 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 51°, low 31°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 47°, low 30°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    69% chance of snow, high 40°, low 28°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 45–57°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Elm River near Frederick

24 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.2 ft
Flow
4 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 75% less heating than a typical week.

This week 47Typical 191

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
40
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Ashley · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
50°10° / 28°−2°
Forecast high / low
51°11° / 31°−1°
Record high
79°26° in 1978
Record low
5°−15° in 1919

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Long Lake weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:06 AM, sunset 6:35 PM.

Daylight
10 h 29 min
Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 50 min less
Golden hour
5:53–6:54 PM
Morning 7:47–8:47 AM
Blue hour
6:54–7:05 PM
Morning 7:35–7:47 AM; first light 7:35 AM

Stars tonight? Unknown

Cloud forecast not available for tonight.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:18 AM · rises 5:35 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Long Lake. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.