Observed 2:35 PM MDT at KCUT

Oral, SD weather

Sunny and 45°7°, jacket by 4 PM.

Forecasts differ

Now 45°7°

Sunny · Feels like 40°4°

Wind: 9 mph15 km/h; From the east. Up to 10 mph16 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 27°−3°; Dry · down to 18°−8° by 5 PM
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 3 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 34Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

23°13° cooler than this time yesterday (68°20° then, 45°7° now)

Good hours for

Dry until tomorrow noon
High 56°13° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 6 PM
Low 37°3° tomorrow at 7 AM
Rain tomorrow from noon (100%, 3.9 in98 mm)

This afternoonNear 54°12° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 40°4° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 44°7° by 10 AM · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 44°7° · Rain all afternoon (60%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Rain all night (100%)
Monday morningUp to 38°3° by 10 AM · Rain all morning (90%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	32%	32%	3
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	25%	33%	2
Sat 4p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	24%	67%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	26%	29%	0
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	29%	28%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	34%	24%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	39%	32%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	43%	26%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	43°6°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	43%	29%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	40°4°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	46%	34%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	39°4°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	48%	41%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	39°4°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	48%	52%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	39°4°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	52%	64%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	57%	85%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	57%	93%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	37°3°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	97%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	34°1°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	73%	100%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	32°0°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	75%	100%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	33°1°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	100%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	36°2°	20%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	76%	100%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	38°3°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	73%	100%	0
Sun 11a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	38°3°	20%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	76%	100%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	38°3°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	79%	100%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	79%	100%	2
Sun 2p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	38°3°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	79%	100%	1
Sun 3p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	82%	100%	0
Sun 4p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	38°3°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	79%	100%	0
Sun 5p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	82%	100%	0
Sun 6p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	34°1°	90%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	89%	100%	0
Sun 7p	Drizzle	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	33°1°	90%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph27 km/h	92%	100%	0
Sun 8p	Drizzle	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	32°0°	90%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	96%	100%	0
Sun 9p	Rain	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	32°0°	90%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	96%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Drizzle	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	90%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	100%	100%	0
Sun 11p	Rain	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	90%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	96%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	100%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 1a	Rain	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	29°−2°	100%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	96%	100%	0
Mon 2a	Rain	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	28°−2°	100%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 3a	Rain	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	28°−2°	100%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 4a	Rain	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 38°3°)	28°−2°	100%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 5a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 38°3°)	26°−3°	100%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 6a	Rain	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	22°−6°	90%, 0.33 in8.4 mm	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 7a	Snow	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	23°−5°	90%, 0.33 in8.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 8a	Rain	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	90%, 0.33 in8.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 9a	Rain	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	28°−2°	90%, 0.33 in8.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 10a	Rain	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	90%, 0.33 in8.4 mm	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	100%	98%	0
Mon 11a	Rain	38°3° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	90%, 0.33 in8.4 mm	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 12p	Rain	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	100%	100%	0
Mon 1p	Rain	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	32°0°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	96%	98%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 36°2°. Typical 59°15° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 57, with temperatures falling to around 55 in the afternoon. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 36, with temperatures rising to around 41 overnight. Northeast wind 2 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 30°−1°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 46°8°, low 31°−1°. Typical 58°14° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 40°4°
  90% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 36°2°
  100% chance · 1.6 in40 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely after 7am. Cloudy, with a high near 46. East wind 5 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Rain. Cloudy. Low around 31, with temperatures rising to around 37 overnight. Northeast wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Low, likely
31°−1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 29°−2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 40°4°, low 29°−2°. Typical 58°14° / 29°−2°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 100% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 35°2°
  90% chance · 2 in50 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 39°4°
  60% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Fog, 34°1°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain before 8am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Northeast wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Night: Rain likely before 7pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 29, with temperatures rising to around 32 overnight. East wind 2 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
37°3°–40°4°
Low, likely
29°−2°–35°2°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 29°−2°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
1
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 34°1°. Typical 57°14° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–63°17°
Low, likely
30°−1°–35°2°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 29°−2°
Wind
25 mph40 km/h, gusts 47 mph76 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Low, likely
31°−1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 28°−2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
29°−2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 28°−2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–70°21°
Low, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 28°−2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 42°6°. Typical 56°13° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
39°4°–64°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 27°−3°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 55°13° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–61°16°
Low, likely
30°−1°–48°9°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 27°−3°
Wind
26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 38°3°. Typical 55°13° / 26°−3°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–68°20°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 26°−3°
Wind
20 mph31 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 57°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
55% chance of rain, high 46°, low 31°, cooling off.
Monday
98% chance of snow, high 40°, low 29°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 52–66°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (UNR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Beaver Creek (SD) near Buffalo Gap

4.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.6 ft
Flow: 5 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Angostura Reservoir

9.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3170 ft

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Fall River (SD) at Hot Springs

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.9 ft
Flow: 26 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:25 PM · NWS gauge page

Cheyenne River near Buffalo Gap

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 41 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 46Typical 154

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 43
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 27°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Oelrichs · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Oral weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 37 min; Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 40 min less
Golden hour: 5:15–6:13 PM; Morning 7:00–7:58 AM
Blue hour: 6:13–6:24 PM; Morning 6:49–7:00 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 54% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:33 AM · rises 4:55 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Oral. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,100 ft, 34 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Oral, SD weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Beaver Creek (SD) near Buffalo Gap

Angostura Reservoir

Fall River (SD) at Hot Springs

Cheyenne River near Buffalo Gap

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon