Observed 2:10 PM CDT at KMBG

Tolstoy, SD weather

Sunny and 52°11°.

Forecasts differ

Now 52°11°

Sunny

Wind: 15 mph24 km/h; From the west-northwest. Easing to 5 mph8 km/h by 10 PM
Dew point: 27°−3°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 2Low; Low all day (peak 2)
Pressure: 30.3 inHg1026 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

23°13° cooler than this time yesterday (74°23° then, 51°11° now)

Good hours for

Dry until tomorrow 1 PM
High 49°9° today at 4 PM
Low 35°2° tonight at 5 AM
Rain tomorrow from 1 PM (90%, 2.8 in71 mm)
Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h Monday from 8 AM

This afternoonNear 48°9° · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 35°2° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 44°7° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 44°7° · Rain 1–6 PM (50%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Rain all night (80%)
Monday morningNear 36°2° · Rain all morning (90%) · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	40°4°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NW, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	53%	82%	2
Sat 3p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	42°6°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NNW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	45%	83%	2
Sat 4p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	43°6°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	40%	85%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	39%	82%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	39%	82%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	40%	82%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	43%	81%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	48%	78%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	50%	67%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	52%	22%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	52%	17%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	54%	28%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	56%	29%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	54%	24%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	54%	60%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	56%	67%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	54%	77%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	29°−2°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	54%	87%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	56%	92%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	32°0°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	54%	100%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	50%	97%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	39°4°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	47%	99%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	40°4°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	47%	100%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	47%	100%	2
Sun 2p	Rain	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	47%	100%	1
Sun 3p	Rain	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	40%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	49%	100%	0
Sun 4p	Rain	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	36°2°	50%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	55%	100%	0
Sun 5p	Rain	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	36°2°	50%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	57%	100%	0
Sun 6p	Drizzle	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	34°1°	40%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	62%	100%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	34°1°	30%, 0.04 in1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	65%	100%	0
Sun 8p	Drizzle	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	33°1°	50%, 0.04 in1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	67%	100%	0
Sun 9p	Rain	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	32°0°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	73%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Rain	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	32°0°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	76%	100%	0
Sun 11p	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	31°−1°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	79%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Rain	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	32°0°	70%, 0.04 in1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	76%	100%	0
Mon 1a	Rain	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	32°0°	40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	76%	100%	0
Mon 2a	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	30°−1°	30%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	79%	100%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	30°−1°	40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from ENE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	79%	100%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from ENE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	76%	100%	0
Mon 5a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	28°−2°	80%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	16 mph26 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	79%	100%	0
Mon 6a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	26°−3°	80%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	17 mph27 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	82%	100%	0
Mon 7a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	26°−3°	90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm	17 mph27 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	79%	99%	0
Mon 8a	Rain	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	22°−6°	90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm	18 mph29 km/h from ENE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	89%	100%	0
Mon 9a	Rain	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	22°−6°	90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm	18 mph29 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	92%	100%	0
Mon 10a	Rain	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	24°−4°	90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm	18 mph29 km/h from ENE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	89%	100%	0
Mon 11a	Rain	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm	18 mph29 km/h from ENE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	85%	100%	0
Mon 12p	Rain	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	90%, 0.21 in5.3 mm	18 mph29 km/h from ENE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	85%	100%	0
Mon 1p	Snow	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	90%, 0.32 in8.1 mm	18 mph29 km/h from ENE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	85%	100%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 52, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. North northwest wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. North northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–68°20°
Low, likely
33°1°–40°4°
Wind
26 mph41 km/h, gusts 42 mph67 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 47°8°, low 33°1°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 45°7°
  50% chance · 0.46 in12 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 40°4°
  60% chance · 0.29 in7.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 37°3°
  80% chance · 0.39 in9.9 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain after 9am. Cloudy. High near 47, with temperatures falling to around 42 in the afternoon. East wind 6 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 33. East northeast wind 12 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Low, likely
32°0°–37°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 38°3°, low 28°−2°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 90% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 33°1°
  90% chance · 1.1 in28 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 36°2°
  100% chance · 0.3 in0.6 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 35°2°
  90% chance · 0.28 in7.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 36°2°
  80% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain before 1pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 38. Northeast wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Night: Rain and snow before 7pm, then rain and snow between 7pm and 10pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 28. North northeast wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
38°3°–41°5°
Low, likely
28°−2°–37°3°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 48°9°, low 34°1°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 36°2°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain before 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. East wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. South southwest wind 12 to 15 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Low, likely
34°1°–38°3°
Wind
20 mph33 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 56°13°, low 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. West southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
34°1°–40°4°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 44 mph70 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 57°14°, low 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
31°−1°–40°4°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 57°14°, low 40°4°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 58°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–63°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–48°9°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  20% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  20% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 44°6°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–62°17°
Low, likely
38°3°–49°9°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 51°11°, low 42°6°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 44°6°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
44°7°–62°17°
Low, likely
35°2°–55°13°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Sunny. High 53°12°, low 38°3°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.07 in1.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Low, likely
35°2°–44°7°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 52°, low 33°.
Tomorrow
52% chance of rain, high 47°, low 33°, cooling off.
Monday
93% chance of snow, high 38°, low 28°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 48–57°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 31 min; Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 47 min less
Golden hour: 5:56–6:56 PM; Morning 7:48–8:47 AM
Blue hour: 6:56–7:08 PM; Morning 7:36–7:48 AM; first light 7:36 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 11 PM–1 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:19 AM · rises 5:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Tolstoy. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Tolstoy, SD weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon