Observed 4:00 PM EDT at KTYS

Rarity Bay, TN weather

Sunny and 70°21°, jacket by 9 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 70°21°

Sunny

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the north. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 45°7°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 45Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM
Low 45°7° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by noon

This afternoonNear 72°22° · Clear
TonightDown to 47°8° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 72°22° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 46°8° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 72°22° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	38%	5%	4
Sat 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	37%	7%	2
Sat 6p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	39%	9%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	45%	10%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	52%	9%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	69%	11%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	46%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	80%	2%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	89%	12%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	14%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	13%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	13%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	14%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	17%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	20%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	77%	1%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	64%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	58%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	0%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	45%	0%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	42%	0%	5
Sun 4p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	41%	0%	4
Sun 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	39%	0%	2
Sun 6p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	42%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	31%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	4%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	83%	2%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	6%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	89%	15%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	23%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	89%	17%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	86%	14%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	89%	19%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	26%	0
Mon 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	77%	8%	1
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	67%	10%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	56%	8%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	49%	6%	5
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	46%	16%	5
Mon 3p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	43%	30%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 70°21° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 72. North wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
70°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 44°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 69°21° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 45°7°. Typical 69°21° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 43°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 48°9°. Typical 68°20° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 76. Wind around 0 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 43°6°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 47°8°. Typical 68°20° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
70°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 42°6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 76°24°, low 48°9°. Typical 68°20° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 42°6°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 51°11°. Typical 67°19° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 42°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 54°12°. Typical 67°19° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
74°23°–79°26°
Low, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 61°16°. Typical 67°19° / 41°5°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 76°25°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 70°21°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.18 in4.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
72°22°–79°26°
Low, likely
54°12°–66°19°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 41°5°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 73°23°, low 56°13°. Typical 66°19° / 40°4°. Rain 0.72 in18 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.49 in12 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 65°19°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–78°26°
Low, likely
48°9°–64°18°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 40°4°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 42 mph68 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 72°, low 45°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 72°, low 45°.
Monday
Dry, high 73°, low 45°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 73–78°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MRX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tennessee River below Ft. Loudoun Dam (Lenoir City 1E)

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 741 ft

Forecast peak 742 ft Sun 1 AM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Clinch River below Melton Hill Dam

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 741 ft

Forecast peak 741 ft Fri 1 AM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Tennessee River above Ft. Loudoun Dam (Lenoir City 1E)

11 mi

Level: 813 ft

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Clinch River above Melton Hill Dam

17 mi

Level: 794 ft

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 20Typical 66

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 13
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

LENOIR CITY · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1962–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−9°−5°SunOct 18
−5°−3°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
±0°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Rarity Bay weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 59 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 14 min less
Golden hour: 6:15–7:06 PM; Morning 7:35–8:26 AM
Blue hour: 7:06–7:16 PM; Morning 7:25–7:35 AM; first light 7:25 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 11 PM–7:26 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:07 AM · rises 5:46 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Rarity Bay. The highest point on the skyline is about 6,600 ft, 43 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Rarity Bay, TN weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Tennessee River below Ft. Loudoun Dam (Lenoir City 1E)

Clinch River below Melton Hill Dam

Tennessee River above Ft. Loudoun Dam (Lenoir City 1E)

Clinch River above Melton Hill Dam

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon