Flood Watch
Starts in 8 h 51 min
When
Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
Where
Portions of south central New Mexico and the Tularosa Basin, including Otero County. Far west Texas including El Paso and Hudspeth Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected to move through South-Central New Mexico and Far West Texas. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1" are likely with localized areas receiving 2-3" resulting in flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Otero Mesa; West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands; East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo; Southeast Tularosa Basin; Western El Paso County; Eastern/Central El Paso County; Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains; Salt Basin; Southern Hudspeth Highlands; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 8:50 AM MDT at KELP

Agua Dulce, TX weather

Mostly sunny and 66°19°, rain ~4–9 PM (65%).

Forecasts differ

Now 66°19°

Mostly sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the southeast. Gusts to 22 mph35 km/h around 11 AM
Dew point: 54°12°; Comfortable
UV index: 1Low; High 12–3 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 44Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.05 inHg1018 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.3 hPa in 3 h

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 63°17° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 3 PM
High 77°25° today at 1 PM
Rain and storms today 3 PM–midnight (70%, 0.93 in24 mm)
Below 70°21° tonight after 7 PM
Drizzle tomorrow night 7 PM–6 AM (70%, 1.2 in29 mm)

This morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 74°23° · Rain 3–6 PM (70%)
TonightDown to 59°15° by 4 AM · Storms 6 PM–midnight (60%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 74°23° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 59°15° by 4 AM · Rain 7 PM–6 AM (70%)
Monday morningNear 61°16° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9a	Sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	70%	0%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	66%	0%	3
Sat 11a	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	61%	3%	4
Sat 12p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°)	75°24°	10%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	54%	7%	6
Sat 1p	Mostly sunny	77°25° (likely 74°23° to 79°26°)	77°25°	10%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	50%	34%	6
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	77°25° (likely 75°24° to 81°27°)	77°25°	10%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	50%	35%	6
Sat 3p	Sunny	76°24° (likely 75°24° to 82°28°)	76°24°	30%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	52%	48%	5
Sat 4p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 81°27°)	74°23°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	55%	81%	4
Sat 5p	Rain	72°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	50%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	59%	80%	0
Sat 6p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 63°17° to 70°21°)	70°21°	60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	63%	90%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	73%	78%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	66°19° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	13 mph21 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	75%	44%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	50%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	81%	76%	0
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	30%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	84%	74%	0
Sat 11p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	40%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	84%	82%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly cloudy	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	87%	74%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	87%	76%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	90%	58%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	90%	19%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	93%	24%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	93%	37%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	93%	38%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	93%	73%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	93%	61%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	84%	63%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	78%	30%	3
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	73%	36%	4
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	70°21°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	68%	29%	5
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	72°22°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	61%	31%	6
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	57%	31%	6
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°)	74°23°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	51%	33%	5
Sun 4p	Partly sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)	74°23°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	51%	27%	4
Sun 5p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)	73°23°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	53%	30%	2
Sun 6p	Partly cloudy	71°22° (likely 70°21° to 75°24°)	71°22°	5%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	59%	19%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	68°20°	20%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	65%	31%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	66°19°	30%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	73%	30%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)	64°18°	30%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	78%	65%	0
Sun 10p	Drizzle	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	63°17°	40%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	81%	80%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	50%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	84%	81%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	87%	66%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	90%	73%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	90%	79%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	90%	85%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	91%	78%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	93%	43%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	93%	80%	0
Mon 7a	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	60°16°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	90%	74%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly cloudy	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	86%	68%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 80°27°, low 57°14°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 77°25°
  70% chance · 0.66 in17 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 66°19°
  60% chance · 0.6 in15 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 80, with temperatures falling to around 72 in the afternoon. South southeast wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southeast wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
76°24°–82°28°
Low, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 75°24°, low 57°14°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 5% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  50% chance · 0.6 in15 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  70% chance · 0.66 in17 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 9pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 74°23°, low 55°13°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 74°23°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°18°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. East southeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–77°25°
Low, likely
55°13°–61°16°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 55°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 67°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. South southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. East southeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
53°12°–61°16°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 57°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
50°10°–61°16°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
6
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 76°24°, low 56°13°. Rain 0.49 in12 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 73°23°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.36 in9.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 72°22°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 65°18°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 56°13°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 65°18°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 55°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
54°12°–61°16°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 55°13°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–63°17°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
51°11°–56°13°
Wind
30 mph49 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
6

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 80°, low 57°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 75°, low 57°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 74°, low 55°.
Rest of week
Highs 64–78°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 8 min; Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 3 min less
Golden hour: 5:49–6:37 PM; Morning 6:59–7:47 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:47 PM; Morning 6:49–6:59 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 3–5 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:36 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Agua Dulce. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,700 ft, 54 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch

Agua Dulce, TX weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon