Observed 1:55 PM CDT at KCXO

Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX weather

Sunny and 82°28°.

Forecasts agree

Now 82°28°

Sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south-southeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 57°14°; A little sticky
UV index: 6High; High until 3 PM
Pressure: 30.2 inHg1023 hPa; Falling · −0.06 inHg−2.1 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 85°29° today at 4 PM
Below 70°21° tonight after 9 PM
Low 56°13° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 70°21° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonNear 83°28° · Clear
TonightDown to 58°14° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 80°27° by 4 PM · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 56°13° by 4 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 82°28° to 83°28°)	81°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	40%	13%	6
Sat 3p	Sunny	84°29° (likely 83°28° to 84°29°)	83°28°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	34%	10%	5
Sat 4p	Sunny	85°29° (likely 82°28° to 85°29°)	83°28°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	32%	19%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	83°28° (likely 79°26° to 83°28°)	82°28°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	34%	6%	1
Sat 6p	Sunny	81°27° (likely 75°24° to 81°27°)	81°27°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	39%	12%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	76°24° (likely 69°21° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	20%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 73°23°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	61%	34%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	70%	36%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	81%	28%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	84%	32%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	27%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	31%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	18%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	56%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	81%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	100%	82%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	96%	81%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	70%	81%	2
Sun 11a	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	51%	83%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	75°24° (likely 74°23° to 78°26°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	43%	75%	5
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	77°25° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	77°25°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	37%	78%	5
Sun 2p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	34%	86%	5
Sun 3p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	32%	92%	5
Sun 4p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	30%	94%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 75°24° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	32%	92%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	77°25° (likely 71°22° to 78°26°)	77°25°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	36%	93%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	44%	91%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	54%	94%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	56%	89%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	60%	95%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	62%	95%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	69%	97%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	80%	95%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	97%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	97%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	86%	98%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	98%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	98%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	80%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	59%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	75%	52%	1
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	61%	22%	2
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	72°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	53%	16%	4
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	76°24° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	46%	39%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	79°26° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	42%	19%	6

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 85°29°, low 56°13°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 85°29°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 85. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. East wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
83°28°–85°29°
Low, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 55°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–81°27°
Low, likely
55°13°–60°16°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 83°28°, low 55°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 83, with temperatures falling to around 80 in the afternoon. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–83°28°
Low, likely
55°13°–59°15°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 60°16°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 69°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 81.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–81°27°
Low, likely
55°13°–60°16°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 84°29°, low 60°16°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 71°22°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–85°29°
Low, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
6
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 84°29°, low 59°15°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 84°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–85°29°
Low, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 82°28°, low 62°17°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 72°22°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
75°24°–82°28°
Low, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 82°28°, low 67°19°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 69°21°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 82°28°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 76°25°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 71°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
78°26°–88°31°
Low, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 85°29°, low 71°22°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 73°23°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 86°30°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 76°24°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
81°27°–90°32°
Low, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 80°27°, low 62°17°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°18°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
76°24°–86°30°
Low, likely
55°13°–71°22°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 85°, low 56°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 81°, low 55°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 83°, low 55°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 80–85°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (HGX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Trinity River near Romayor

6.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 10.4 ft
Flow: 1,470 cfs

Forecast peak 10.5 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Trinity River near Goodrich

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.5 ft
Flow: 1,470 cfs

Forecast peak 4.5 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Menard Creek near Rye

0.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 8.9 ft
Flow: 22 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Big Creek at TX 150 near Shepherd

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 133 ft

Reading from Sat 12:35 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 11 min; Losing 1 min 38 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 0 min less
Golden hour: 6:05–6:53 PM; Morning 7:12–8:00 AM
Blue hour: 6:53–7:02 PM; Morning 7:03–7:12 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 2–6 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:48 AM · rises 5:34 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Big Thicket Lake Estates. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Trinity River near Romayor

Trinity River near Goodrich

Menard Creek near Rye

Big Creek at TX 150 near Shepherd

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon