Observed 1:55 PM CDT at KCXO

Cut and Shoot, TX weather

Sunny and 82°28°.

Mostly agree

Now 82°28°

Sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south-southeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 57°14°; A little sticky
UV index: 6High; High until 3 PM
Pressure: 30.2 inHg1023 hPa; Falling · −0.06 inHg−2.1 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 86°30° today at 4 PM
Drops 12°7° tonight 6–9 PM (82°28° → 70°21°)
Below 70°21° tonight after 9 PM
Fog tomorrow 7–9 AM
Above 70°21° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonNear 84°29° · Clear
TonightDown to 57°14° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 73°23° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 81°27° by 3 PM · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 53°12° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Sunny	83°28° (likely 82°28° to 84°29°)	83°28°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	43%	15%	6
Sat 3p	Sunny	85°29° (likely 83°28° to 85°29°)	84°29°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	39%	19%	5
Sat 4p	Sunny	86°30° (likely 82°28° to 86°30°)	85°29°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	37%	11%	4
Sat 5p	Sunny	84°29° (likely 80°27° to 84°29°)	83°28°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	40%	16%	2
Sat 6p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 77°25° to 83°28°)	82°28°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	43%	23%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	77°25° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	52%	35%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	68%	37%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	78%	31%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	84%	64%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	90%	42%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	97%	41%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	33%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	45%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	25%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	23%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	31%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	77%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	82%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	84%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	84%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	76%	85%	2
Sun 11a	Cloudy	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	57%	86%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	48%	79%	4
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	78°26° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	39%	77%	5
Sun 2p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 79°26° to 82°28°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	34%	91%	5
Sun 3p	Cloudy	81°27° (likely 79°26° to 83°28°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	30%	92%	5
Sun 4p	Cloudy	81°27° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	30%	92%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 76°24° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	32%	93%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	77°25° (likely 73°23° to 79°26°)	77°25°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	36%	93%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	43%	94%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	52%	92%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	58%	96%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	62%	92%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	67%	96%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	75%	96%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	97%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	90%	97%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	90%	98%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	94%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	93%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	85%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	80%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 63°17°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	65%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 66°19°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	75%	36%	1
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	59%	20%	2
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	51%	32%	4
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	77°25° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)	77°25°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	43%	38%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	79°26° (likely 79°26° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	42%	24%	6

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 86°30°, low 56°13°. Typical 79°26° / 58°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 86°30°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 86. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
83°28°–86°30°
Low, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 58°14°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 81°27°, low 53°12°. Typical 79°26° / 57°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
79°26°–83°28°
Low, likely
53°12°–61°16°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 57°14°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 83°28°, low 56°13°. Typical 79°26° / 57°14°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 82°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
81°27°–83°28°
Low, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 57°14°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 60°16°. Typical 78°26° / 57°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 72°22°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 81.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–82°28°
Low, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 57°14°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 84°29°, low 61°16°. Typical 78°26° / 56°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 82°28°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 74°23°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 56°13°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 84°29°, low 60°16°. Typical 78°26° / 56°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 84°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–85°29°
Low, likely
59°15°–66°19°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 56°13°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 81°27°, low 63°17°. Typical 77°25° / 56°13°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 79°26°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 72°22°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
75°24°–83°28°
Low, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 56°13°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 82°28°, low 68°20°. Typical 77°25° / 55°13°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 82°28°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 79°26°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 72°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
77°25°–90°32°
Low, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 55°13°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 86°30°, low 71°22°. Typical 77°25° / 55°13°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 74°23°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 87°31°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 81°27°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
82°28°–91°33°
Low, likely
70°21°–72°22°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 55°13°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 81°27°, low 65°18°. Typical 76°24° / 55°13°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 69°20°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
78°26°–87°31°
Low, likely
57°14°–73°23°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 55°13°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 86°, low 56°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 81°, low 53°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 83°, low 56°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 81–86°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (HGX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Caney Creek near Splendora

5.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.8 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Crystal Creek at FM 1314 near Conroe

6.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 98.1 ft

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

West Fork San Jacinto River near Conroe

9.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 93.6 ft
Flow: 25 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Spring Branch at SH 242 near Splendora

9.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 96.3 ft

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

About 41% less cooling than a typical week.

This week 10Typical 18

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 57°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 7:00 PM–12:00 AM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

CONROE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1897–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−10°−6°SunOct 18
−10°−6°MonOct 19
−6°−3°TueOct 20
−3°−2°WedOct 21
+2°+1°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
+1°±0°SatOct 24

Cut and Shoot weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 11 min; Losing 1 min 43 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 0 min less
Golden hour: 6:08–6:55 PM; Morning 7:14–8:02 AM
Blue hour: 6:55–7:05 PM; Morning 7:05–7:14 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 3–5 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:36 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Cut and Shoot. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Cut and Shoot, TX weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Caney Creek near Splendora

Crystal Creek at FM 1314 near Conroe

West Fork San Jacinto River near Conroe

Spring Branch at SH 242 near Splendora

For your home

Cooling this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon