Flood Watch
Starts in 18 h 38 min
When
From Saturday evening through late Saturday night.
Where
A portion of south central New Mexico, including Otero County and portion of far west Texas including El Paso and Hudspeth Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected to move through the region between this evening and late Saturday night. Widespread rainfall amounts of up to 1" are likely with localized areas receiving 2-3" resulting in flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Otero Mesa; West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands; East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo; Southeast Tularosa Basin; Western El Paso County; Eastern/Central El Paso County; Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains; Salt Basin; Southern Hudspeth Highlands; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 11:00 PM MDT at KELP

San Elizario, TX weather

Partly cloudy and 64°18°, rain tomorrow ~4–8 PM (77%).

Forecasts agree

Now 64°18°

Partly cloudy

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the north. Gusts to 21 mph34 km/h around 10 AM
Dew point: 57°14°; A little sticky
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 12–3 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 52Moderate; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure: 30.02 inHg1017 hPa; Rising · +0.05 inHg+1.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Rain until midnight (20%, 0.15 in3.8 mm)
Above 70°21° tomorrow by 9 AM
Rain and storms tomorrow 3–11 PM (80%, 1.6 in41 mm)
Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tomorrow 5–6 PM
Rain Sunday night from 6 PM (50%, 0.15 in3.8 mm)

TonightDown to 62°17° by 5 AM · Rain 11 PM–midnight (20%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 77°25° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 84°29° by 3 PM · Rain 3–6 PM (50%) · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h
Tomorrow nightDown to 59°15° by 5 AM · Storms 6–11 PM (80%)
Sunday morningUp to 74°23° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Sunday afternoonUp to 81°27° by 3 PM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
Sunday nightDown to 64°18° by 10 PM · Rain all night (50%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 11p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	20%, 0.15 in3.8 mm	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	73%	69%	0
Sat 12a	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	81%	67%	0
Sat 1a	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	81%	66%	0
Sat 2a	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	81%	60%	0
Sat 3a	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	81%	50%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	84%	15%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	84%	11%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	87%	0%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	87%	1%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	78%	3%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	70°21° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	66%	10%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	74°23° (likely 67°19° to 74°23°)	74°23°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	57%	2%	3
Sat 11a	Sunny	77°25° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)	77°25°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	52%	0%	4
Sat 12p	Sunny	80°27° (likely 75°24° to 80°27°)	80°27°	10%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	45%	3%	6
Sat 1p	Mostly sunny	82°28° (likely 78°26° to 83°28°)	82°28°	20%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	43%	26%	6
Sat 2p	Mostly sunny	83°28° (likely 79°26° to 84°29°)	82°28°	20%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	40%	39%	6
Sat 3p	Sunny	84°29° (likely 79°26° to 85°29°)	83°28°	30%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	37%	47%	5
Sat 4p	Cloudy	83°28° (likely 67°19° to 83°28°)	82°28°	50%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	40%	77%	4
Sat 5p	Cloudy	82°28° (likely 66°19° to 82°28°)	82°28°	50%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	41%	81%	0
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	76°24° (likely 66°19° to 76°24°)	76°24°	40%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	52%	61%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)	71°22°	50%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	61%	76%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	69°21°	80%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	66%	69%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	40%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	70%	80%	0
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	40%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	73%	69%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	10%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	75%	36%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly cloudy	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	63°17°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	81%	41%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	84%	33%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	81%	48%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	84%	24%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	87%	29%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	90%	54%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	93%	59%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	90%	40%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	81%	25%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly cloudy	67°19° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	70%	47%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	71°22° (likely 63°17° to 71°22°)	71°22°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	64%	25%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	74°23° (likely 67°19° to 74°23°)	74°23°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	57%	20%	4
Sun 12p	Sunny	77°25° (likely 70°21° to 77°25°)	77°25°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	52%	24%	5
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	79°26° (likely 73°23° to 79°26°)	79°26°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	47%	44%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	80°27° (likely 74°23° to 80°27°)	80°27°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	44%	40%	6
Sun 3p	Sunny	81°27° (likely 75°24° to 81°27°)	81°27°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	41%	30%	5
Sun 4p	Sunny	81°27° (likely 76°24° to 81°27°)	81°27°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	41%	15%	4
Sun 5p	Sunny	79°26° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)	79°26°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	44%	21%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°)	73°23°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	53%	27%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 74°23°)	69°21°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	63%	40%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 72°22°)	66°19°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	70%	70%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 71°22°)	65°18°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	75%	81%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 70°21°)	64°18°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	78%	84%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 23. Thunderstorms. High 88°31°, low 61°16°. Storms 0.48 in12 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
87°31°–89°32°
Low, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 84°29°, low 58°14°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 84°29°
  50% chance · 0.6 in15 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 69°21°
  80% chance · 1.6 in40 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 59°15°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southeast wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. East southeast wind 2 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–85°29°
Low, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Wind
23 mph37 km/h, gusts 38 mph62 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 81°27°, low 56°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  50% chance · 0.15 in3.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–81°27°
Low, likely
55°13°–60°16°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 76°24°, low 56°13°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 76°24°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°19°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
74°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
56°13°–61°16°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 55°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. East southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. East southeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
72°22°–78°26°
Low, likely
53°12°–60°16°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 79°26°, low 57°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–80°27°
Low, likely
51°11°–60°16°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 77°25°, low 57°14°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 74°23°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–78°26°
Low, likely
56°13°–63°17°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
6
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 72°22°, low 58°14°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 71°21°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 65°18°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 58°15°
  20% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–74°23°
Low, likely
54°12°–62°17°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–75°24°
Low, likely
51°11°–64°18°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
6

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
80% chance of rain, high 88°, low 61°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 84°, low 58°, cooling off.
Sunday
Dry, high 81°, low 56°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 71–79°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rio Grande at El Paso (Courchesne Bridge)

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.6 ft
Flow: 42 cfs

Forecast peak 2.3 ft Sat 12 AM

Reading from Fri 9:05 PM · NWS gauge page

Rio Grande below American Canal Diversion

21 mi

Level: 4.9 ft
Flow: 42 cfs

Reading from Fri 9:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 10 min; Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 5 min less
Golden hour: 5:50–6:39 PM; Morning 6:58–7:47 AM
Blue hour: 6:39–6:48 PM; Morning 6:49–6:58 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 4–6:50 AM, but the moon is 96% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

95% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:34 AM · rises 4:49 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from San Elizario. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,700 ft, 55 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch