Observed 5:50 AM CDT at KGNC
Welch, TX weather
Clear and 57°14°.
Today: low 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°), high 74°23° (likely 73°23° to 74°23°).
Now 57°14°
Clear
- Wind
- Calm
- Gusts to 26 mph41 km/h around 12 PM
- Dew point
- 52°11°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 0Low
- Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
This morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 72°22° by 3 PM · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Cloudy
TonightDown to 61°16° by 5 AM · rain chance 40% · Cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Rain 7 AM–noon (60%) · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 70°21° by 5 PM · Storms noon–4 PM (40%) · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h
Tomorrow nightDown to 59°15° by 5 AM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 6a | Mostly cloudy | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 80% | 58% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Partly cloudy | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 87% | 72% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 87% | 94% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 84% | 92% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 81% | 93% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h | 78% | 98% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°) | 66°19° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph41 km/h | 78% | 100% | 3 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 68°20° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 73% | 100% | 3 |
| Sat 2p | Cloudy | 70°21° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°) | 70°21° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 68% | 100% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Cloudy | 72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 61% | 98% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 72°22° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph36 km/h | 59% | 89% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Cloudy | 72°22° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 59% | 91% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 73°23° (likely 72°22° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 55% | 93% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 71°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°) | 71°22° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 59% | 90% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 69°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 69°21° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 66% | 81% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°) | 67°19° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 73% | 82% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 67°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 67°19° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 73% | 88% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 75% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 5% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h | 78% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 81% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°) | 64°18° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 84% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 63°17° | 20% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph39 km/h | 87% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°) | 63°17° | 40% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 87% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 40% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 93% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 40% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 96% | 93% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Drizzle | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 96% | 98% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Drizzle | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 59°15° | 60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 40%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph41 km/h | 87% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 40%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from S, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 87% | 99% | 1 |
| Sun 12p | Showers | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 40%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from S, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 87% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°) | 66°19° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from S, gusts 26 mph41 km/h | 81% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 68°20° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°) | 68°20° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph38 km/h | 76% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 3p | Thunderstorms | 69°21° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°) | 69°21° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 73% | 100% | 2 |
| Sun 4p | Mostly cloudy | 69°21° (likely 64°18° to 71°22°) | 69°21° | 10%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 70% | 99% | 1 |
| Sun 5p | Mostly cloudy | 70°21° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°) | 70°21° | 10%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 68% | 94% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Mostly cloudy | 69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°) | 69°21° | 10%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 70% | 57% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Partly cloudy | 67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°) | 67°19° | 10% | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 75% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Mostly cloudy | 66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 66°19° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 81% | 62% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Mostly cloudy | 65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 84% | 61% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 87% | 92% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 84% | 88% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 87% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 58°14° to 65°18°) | 63°17° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 84% | 74% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°) | 62°17° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph30 km/h | 87% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 87% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 90% | 93% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Showers | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 93% | 98% | 0 |
Days ahead
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 58°14°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 58°14°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 72°22°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 69°21°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 61°16°40% chance
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph.
Tonight: Isolated rain showers between 1am and 4am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 58. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–74°23°
- Low, likely
- 56°13°–60°16°
- Wind
- 19 mph30 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 59°15°60% chance · 0.55 in14 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Thunderstorms, 70°21°40% chance · 0.31 in7.9 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly cloudy, 66°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Showers, 59°15°20% chance
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–71°22°
- Low, likely
- 57°14°–63°17°
- Wind
- 22 mph35 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Monday, Oct 26. Thunderstorms. High 69°21°, low 54°12°. Storms 0.21 in5.3 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 61°16°40% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 65°18°60% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 62°17°60% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 59°15°30% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 69. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 65°18°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 54°12°–61°16°
- Wind
- 17 mph28 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 73°23°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 59°15°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 73°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 68°20°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 60°16°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 71°22°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 54°12°–60°16°
- Wind
- 18 mph28 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 54°12°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 60°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 70°21°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 60°16°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–78°26°
- Low, likely
- 54°12°–60°16°
- Wind
- 17 mph27 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 73°23°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 74°23°30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Showers, 68°20°30% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 61°16°50% chance · 0.16 in3.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 70°21°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 54°12°–61°16°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 70°21°, low 53°12°. Rain 0.48 in12 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 62°17°50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 68°20°50% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 63°17°40% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 61°16°40% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 53°12°–62°17°
- Wind
- 18 mph28 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 71°22°, low 60°16°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 62°16°40% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 70°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 67°20°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 60°15°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 65°18°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 59°15°–61°16°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 59°15°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 61°16°20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 72°22°20% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 67°19°20% chance · 0.2 in5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 54°12°20% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 71°22°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–62°17°
- Wind
- 17 mph28 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 55°13°. Rain 0.26 in6.6 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 55°13°20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 67°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 65°18°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 53°12°–59°15°
- Wind
- 20 mph32 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 74°, low 58°.
Tomorrow
59% chance of rain, high 71°, low 57°, cooling off.
Monday
66% chance of rain, high 69°, low 54°.
Rest of week
Highs 70–77°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MAF) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:59 AM, sunset 7:04 PM.
- Daylight
- 11 h 5 min
- Losing 1 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 6 min less
- Golden hour
- 6:31–7:20 PM
- Morning 7:44–8:33 AM
- Blue hour
- 7:20–7:30 PM
- Morning 7:34–7:44 AM; first light 7:34 AM
Stars tonight? Poor
Clouds most of the night (about 65% cover).
Moon
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 6:20 AM · rises 6:02 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9