McElmo Creek near Bluff
1.2 mi- Level
- 7.4 ft
- Flow
- 905 cfs
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 2 days
This place is inside the warning area · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is ongoing
Impacts
Flooding along San Juan River is occurring. Low-water crossing are inundated with water and may not be passable. The river is running fast and high. Do not attempt to cross.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become unstable and unsafe.
Areas: Montezuma, CO; San Juan, UT
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Ends in 1 day 3 h
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, recent burn scars and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Uncompahgre Plateau/Dallas Divide; Northwestern San Juan Mountains; Southwest San Juan Mountains; Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River; Four Corners/Upper Dolores River; Animas River Basin; San Juan River Basin; Southeast Utah; Arches/Grand Flat; La Sal and Abajo Mountains; Canyonlands/Natural Bridges
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 8:25 AM MDT at KCEZ
Flood Warning. 43°6° and partly cloudy now.
Today: low 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°), high 64°18° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°).
Now 43°6°
Partly sunny
None rain starting around 7:15 AM.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 43°6° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 100% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 44°7° | 10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 88% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Mostly sunny | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 87% | 63% | 2 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 76% | 48% | 3 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 30%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 71% | 46% | 5 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 68% | 89% | 5 |
| Sat 2p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 59% | 74% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Showers | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 64% | 73% | 5 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 66% | 51% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Thunderstorms | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 50%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 69% | 38% | 2 |
| Sat 6p | Partly cloudy | 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 69% | 70% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°) | 54°12° | 60%, 0.08 in2 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 77% | 85% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 84% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 48°9° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 86% | 87% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Mostly clear | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 47°8° | 80%, 0.08 in2 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 89% | 57% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 89% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Drizzle | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 93% | 70% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Drizzle | 48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 93% | 39% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 90% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Showers | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 96% | 73% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Showers | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Showers | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 100% | 44% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Showers | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 45% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Showers | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 41°5° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 52% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Showers | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 48% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 99% | 46% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 86% | 46% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 77% | 40% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Mostly sunny | 54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 54°12° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 66% | 46% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Partly sunny | 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 61% | 54% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 56% | 32% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 50% | 26% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Showers | 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 55% | 30% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 56% | 19% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Mostly clear | 58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 55% | 30% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 53°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 53°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 67% | 7% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 71% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 49°9° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 76% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 78% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 46°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 81% | 3% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 46°8° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 84% | 8% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 87% | 11% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 44°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 89% | 14% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 93% | 16% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Partly cloudy | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 95% | 18% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Partly cloudy | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 98% | 20% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Partly cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 22% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Partly cloudy | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°) | 39°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 97% | 25% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 0.66 in17 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
80% chance · 0.48 in12 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 1pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. South southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
67% chance of rain, high 64°, low 42°.
Dry, high 61°, low 39°, cooling off.
Dry, high 61°, low 38°.
Highs 54–65°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 74% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 5 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.
On average 2°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Aneth weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:33 AM, sunset 6:27 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 67% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing