McElmo Creek near Bluff
7.1 mi- Level
- 6.4 ft
- Flow
- 492 cfs
Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 1 day 18 h
This place is inside the warning area · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is ongoing
Impacts
Flooding along San Juan River is occurring. Low-water crossing are inundated with water and may not be passable. The river is running fast and high. Do not attempt to cross.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become unstable and unsafe.
Areas: Montezuma, CO; San Juan, UT
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Ends in 21 h 44 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, recent burn scars and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Uncompahgre Plateau/Dallas Divide; Northwestern San Juan Mountains; Southwest San Juan Mountains; Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River; Four Corners/Upper Dolores River; Animas River Basin; San Juan River Basin; Southeast Utah; Arches/Grand Flat; La Sal and Abajo Mountains; Canyonlands/Natural Bridges
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 1:15 PM MDT at KBDG
Flood Warning. 57°14° and overcast now.
Today: low 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°), high 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°).
Now 57°14°
Cloudy
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 2p | Rain | 61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 58% | 86% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Rain | 62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 56% | 74% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 60°16° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 60% | 41% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Thunderstorms | 60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 61% | 49% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Drizzle | 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 64% | 64% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 68% | 78% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 74% | 83% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 76% | 81% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Mostly clear | 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 54°12° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 79% | 61% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Rain | 53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 80% | 84% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 85% | 30% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 51°11° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 86% | 73% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 49°9° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 87% | 66% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Showers | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 90% | 67% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 93% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Showers | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 94% | 87% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 97% | 74% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Partly cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 97% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Partly sunny | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 99% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Mostly sunny | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 43°6° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 100% | 54% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Partly sunny | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°) | 45°7° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 94% | 67% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Mostly sunny | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 47°8° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 82% | 40% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Mostly sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°) | 51°11° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 71% | 45% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 62% | 36% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 59% | 32% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 56°13° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 55% | 26% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 56°13° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 56% | 27% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 57% | 48% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Mostly clear | 55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 59% | 13% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 53°12° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 64% | 25% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 52°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 70% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 50°10° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 73% | 12% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 77% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Mostly clear | 48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 79% | 13% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 85% | 17% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°) | 45°7° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 87% | 24% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 45°7°) | 45°7° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 88% | 30% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°) | 43°6° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 93% | 33% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 94% | 32% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°) | 42°6° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 94% | 32% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 97% | 31% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 97% | 37% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 39°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 59% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Partly sunny | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 64% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Partly sunny | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 95% | 64% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Partly sunny | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°) | 43°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 82% | 62% | 3 |
| Mon 12p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 57°14°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 70% | 56% | 4 |
| Mon 1p | Partly sunny | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 62°17°) | 53°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 60% | 56% | 5 |
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
70% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. North northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. South southwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Clear, with a low around 41.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
60% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
67% chance of rain, high 62°, low 44°.
Dry, high 56°, low 41°, cooling off.
Dry, high 57°, low 40°.
Highs 52–62°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 73% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 6 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 49°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.
On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Montezuma Creek weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:33 AM, sunset 6:28 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 72% cover).
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing