Flood Watch
Ends in 14 h 45 min
When
Through Sunday morning.
Where
Portions of southwest Colorado, including the following areas, Animas River Basin, Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, San Juan River Basin and Southwest San Juan Mountains and Utah, including the following areas, Arches/Grand Flat, Canyonlands/Natural Bridges, La Sal and Abajo Mountains and Southeast Utah.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, recent burn scars and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Flooding is imminent or ongoing with additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected through Saturday afternoon. Rivers and creeks may still experience high waters even after rainfall has ended.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Uncompahgre Plateau/Dallas Divide; Northwestern San Juan Mountains; Southwest San Juan Mountains; Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River; Four Corners/Upper Dolores River; Animas River Basin; San Juan River Basin; Southeast Utah; Arches/Grand Flat; La Sal and Abajo Mountains; Canyonlands/Natural Bridges
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Model estimate for 9:00 PM MDT (no recent station report)

White Mesa, UT weather

Rainy and 53°12°, rain ~10 PM–5 AM (77%).

Forecasts agree

Now 53°12°

Rain

Wind: 10 mph16 km/h; From the northeast. Up to 10 mph16 km/h through 9 AM
Dew point: 47°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4

None rain starting around 7:15 AM.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

3°1° warmer than this time yesterday (48°9° then, 51°10° now)

Good hours for

Rain until noon tomorrow (80%, 0.45 in11 mm)
Low 46°8° tomorrow at 8 AM
High 55°13° tomorrow at 4 PM

TonightDown to 48°9° by 5 AM · Rain all night (80%)
Tomorrow morningNear 50°10° · Rain all morning (20%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 53°12° · rain chance 20% · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 43°6° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 56°13° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
Monday nightDown to 50°10° by 8 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9p	Rain	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	82%	84%	0
Sat 10p	Rain	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	80%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	81%	87%	0
Sat 11p	Drizzle	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	81%	83%	0
Sun 12a	Rain	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	83%	80%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	49°9°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	82%	50%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	50°10°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	48%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	58%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	48°9°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	85%	53%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	49°9°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	87%	50%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	48°9°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	86%	57%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	47°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	35%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	46°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	94%	39%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	48°9°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	84%	33%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	49°9°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	39%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	49°9°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	74%	49%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	69%	48%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	65%	61%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	63%	13%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	61%	2%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	58%	1%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	13%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	61%	10%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	3%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	71%	1%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	47°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	1%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	79%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	45°7°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	81%	7%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	86%	8%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	45°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	45°7°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	9%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	44°7°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	84%	20%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	84%	27%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	42°6°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	85%	27%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	87%	44%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	88%	27%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	90%	28%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	87%	28%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	81%	28%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	75%	26%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	70%	30%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	66%	35%	4
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	62%	40%	5
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	59%	75%	5
Mon 3p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	57%	82%	4
Mon 4p	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	55%	54%	3
Mon 5p	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	54%	52%	2
Mon 6p	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	52%	1
Mon 7p	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	59%	45%	0
Mon 8p	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	65%	33%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 57°14°, low 46°8°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.36 in9.1 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 52°11°
  80% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. North wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
56°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
45°7°–46°8°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 55°13°, low 42°6°. Typical 61°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  20% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
42°6°–43°6°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 38°3°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 56°13°, low 42°6°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. East northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–57°14°
Low, likely
38°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 58°14°, low 42°6°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Clear, with a low around 42.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 44°7°. Typical 59°15° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 37°3°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 46°8°. Typical 59°15° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–64°18°
Low, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 37°3°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 56°13°, low 46°8°. Typical 58°14° / 37°3°. Rain 0.34 in8.6 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  60% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 50°10°
  70% chance · 0.26 in6.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 46°8°
  70% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 37°3°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Rain. High 53°12°, low 46°8°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  60% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  50% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–56°13°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 41°5°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Rain 0.62 in16 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  60% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  50% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  40% chance · 0.3 in7.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
44°7°–53°12°
Low, likely
30°−1°–48°9°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 48°9°, low 37°3°. Typical 57°14° / 36°2°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 39°4°
  40% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–51°11°
Low, likely
26°−3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
76% chance of rain, high 57°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 55°, low 42°.
Monday
Dry, high 56°, low 42°.
Rest of week
Highs 48–60°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

McElmo Creek near Bluff

23 mi

Level: 7.3 ft
Flow: 824 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 114

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 15
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 1 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 47°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Blanding · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1904–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

White Mesa weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 19 min less
Golden hour: 5:52–6:45 PM; Morning 7:18–8:10 AM
Blue hour: 6:45–6:55 PM; Morning 7:08–7:18 AM; first light 7:08 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 62% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:54 AM · rises 5:27 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from White Mesa. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,200 ft, 26 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch