Observed 3:15 PM EDT at KAVC

Bracey, VA weather

Overcast and 67°19°, jacket by 8 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 67°19°

Cloudy

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the north-northeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 47°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 5
Air today: 38Good; EPA forecast · Ozone

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° cooler than this time yesterday (69°20° then, 67°19° now)

Good hours for

Low 44°7° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by noon
Drops 12°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (64°18° → 52°11°)
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 9 PM

This afternoonNear 64°18° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 68°20° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 68°20° by 2 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	50%	25%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	48%	35%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	60%	28%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	75%	59%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	40%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	17%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	14%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	100%	8%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	18%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	43°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	50%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	43°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	56%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	40%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	100%	23%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	100%	25%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	100%	53%	0
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	83%	49%	1
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	75%	35%	2
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	62%	20%	4
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	56%	34%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	52%	25%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	47%	23%	4
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	47%	22%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	65°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	49%	24%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	54%	11%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	69%	11%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	89%	7%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	23%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	24%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	34%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	21%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	57%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	43%	0%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	37%	1%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	37%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly cloudy. High 65°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 37°3°. Typical 71°22° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 37. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
37°3°–50°10°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 70°21° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. North wind around 1 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 44°7°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 48°9°. Typical 70°21° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Clear, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 70°21° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 69°21° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 43°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 51°11°. Typical 69°21° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–77°25°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 43°6°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 68°20° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 43°6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 68°20° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–78°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–60°16°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 42°6°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 74°23°, low 59°15°. Typical 68°20° / 42°6°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–77°25°
Low, likely
50°10°–66°19°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 42°6°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 65°, low 44°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 68°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 42°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 70–77°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Meherrin River near Lawrenceville

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.4 ft
Flow: 6 cfs

Forecast peak 1.4 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 2:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Roanoke River at BUGGS ISLAND

10 mi

Level: 3.3 ft
Flow: 69 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Roanoke River at John H. Kerr Dam

10 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 288 ft

Reading from Sat 2:55 PM · NWS gauge page

Allen Creek at BOYDTON-ALLEN CREEK

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.1 ft

Reading from Sat 2:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 53% less heating than a typical week.

This week 27Typical 56

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 20
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 8 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 47°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 5:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

John H Kerr Dam · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−10°−6°SunOct 18
−7°−4°MonOct 19
−3°−2°TueOct 20
+3°+2°WedOct 21
−2°−1°ThuOct 22
+1°FriOct 23
+1°±0°SatOct 24

Bracey weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 56 min; Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 17 min less
Golden hour: 5:49–6:40 PM; Morning 7:11–8:03 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:50 PM; Morning 7:01–7:11 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 9 PM–4 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:42 AM · rises 5:20 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Bracey. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Bracey, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Meherrin River near Lawrenceville

Roanoke River at BUGGS ISLAND

Roanoke River at John H. Kerr Dam

Allen Creek at BOYDTON-ALLEN CREEK

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon