Observed 3:35 AM EDT at KPBX

Breaks, VA weather

Clear and 48°9°.

Mostly agree

Now 48°9°

Clear

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the south-southeast. Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 4 PM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable · up to 52°11° by 11 AM
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 29Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.35 inHg1028 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by noon
High 69°21° today at 3 PM

TonightNear 44°7° · Clear
This morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 69°21° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 42°6° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 68°20° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 43°6° by 2 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	95%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	95%	0%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	94%	2%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	95%	6%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	94%	8%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	93%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	64%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	57%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	2%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	54%	1%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	54%	4%	2
Sat 6p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	65%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	91%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	94%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	98%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	99%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)	43°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	99%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	90%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	0%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	54%	0%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	53%	0%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	52%	0%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	0%	2
Sun 6p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	64%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	69%	25%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	95%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	26%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	98%	25%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	99%	1%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	2%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 43°6°. Typical 65°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 69. East wind 1 to 6 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 43. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 40°4°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 40. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 41°5°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 38°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 45°7°. Typical 63°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 62°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 56°13°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–75°24°
Low, likely
54°12°–57°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 67°19°, low 56°13°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.51 in13 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 67°19°
  30% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–73°23°
Low, likely
52°11°–60°16°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 42 mph67 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 69°, low 43°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 69°, low 40°.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 41°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 67–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (RLX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Russell Fork River at Haysi

6.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 58 cfs

Forecast peak 2.2 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Russell Fork River at Bartlick

4.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 7.6 ft

Reading from Sat 3 AM · NWS gauge page

Russell Fork near Elkhorn City

4.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 7.1 ft
Flow: 512 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Pound River below John Flannagan Lake

5.6 mi

Level: 2.3 ft

Reading from Sat 2:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 98

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 23
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 6 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Grundy · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1960–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−9°−5°SunOct 18
−6°−3°MonOct 19
−3°−2°TueOct 20
−1°WedOct 21
±0°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Breaks weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 19 min less
Golden hour: 6:04–6:56 PM; Morning 7:29–8:21 AM
Blue hour: 6:56–7:06 PM; Morning 7:19–7:29 AM; first light 7:19 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 4:25–7:19 AM, but the moon is 96% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:00 AM · rises 5:36 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Breaks. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,700 ft, 4 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Breaks, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Russell Fork River at Haysi

Russell Fork River at Bartlick

Russell Fork near Elkhorn City

Pound River below John Flannagan Lake

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon