Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 1 h 38 min
When
Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.
Where
Surry, James City, Newport News and Isle of Wight Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Surry; James City; Newport News; Isle of Wight
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 11:54 AM EDT at KPHF

Carrollton, VA weather

Sunny and 64°18°.

Mostly agree

Now 64°18°

Sunny

Wind: 11 mph18 km/hgusts 21 mph33 km/h; From the east-northeast. 711–13 mph21 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 31Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.5 inHg1033 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 64°18° now)

Good hours for

Low 52°11° tomorrow at 6 AM

This afternoonNear 62°17° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 53°12° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 63°17° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 3 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Mostly cloudy	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	59°15°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	58%	38%	2
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	56%	54%	2
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	56%	60%	2
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	56%	59%	2
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	58%	51%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	60%	30%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	62%	27%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	69%	27%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	75%	30%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	75%	26%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph27 km/h	77%	18%	0
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	80%	21%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	83%	15%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	83%	9%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	86%	13%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	90%	36%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	52°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	93%	34%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	96%	7%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	50°10°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	80%	6%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	72%	10%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	65%	11%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	61°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	63%	11%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	60%	11%	3
Sun 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	58%	10%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	56%	11%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	56%	12%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	56%	10%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	62%	8%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	69%	2%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	93%	5%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	5%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	98%	4%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	89%	5%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	77%	1%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	0%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 67°19° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind around 13 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 49°9°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 67°19° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind 8 to 12 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 2 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–57°14°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 49°9°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 66°19° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. North wind around 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 49°9°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 54°12°. Typical 66°19° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–55°13°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 48°9°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 56°13°. Typical 66°19° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 48°9°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 56°13°. Typical 66°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 47°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 56°13°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–56°13°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Rain, 5% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–56°13°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 56°13°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–76°24°
Low, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 60°16°. Typical 64°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–78°26°
Low, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 46°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 51°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 46°.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 49°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–73°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Pagan River at Smithfield Station (IN MLLW)

6.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.1 ft

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sun 10 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page

James River (VA) at Sewell's Point (IN MLLW)

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft

Forecast peak 4.2 ft Sun 9 AM, action stage

Reading from Sat 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Elizabeth River near Pinehurst in Portsmouth (IN MLLW)

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.8 ft

Forecast peak 4.6 ft Sun 9 AM, action stage

Reading from Sat 11:18 AM · NWS gauge page

James River (VA) at Fort Monroe (IN MLLW)

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.1 ft

Forecast peak 4.3 ft Sun 9 AM, action stage

Reading from Sat 11:18 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 17Typical 55

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 6
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

LANGLEY AIR FORCE BASE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Carrollton weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 55 min; Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
Golden hour: 5:41–6:34 PM; Morning 7:05–7:58 AM
Blue hour: 6:34–6:44 PM; Morning 6:55–7:05 AM; first light 6:55 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–3 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:35 AM · rises 5:13 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Carrollton. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,200 ft, 22 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory

Carrollton, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Pagan River at Smithfield Station (IN MLLW)

James River (VA) at Sewell's Point (IN MLLW)

Elizabeth River near Pinehurst in Portsmouth (IN MLLW)

James River (VA) at Fort Monroe (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon