Pagan River at Smithfield Station (IN MLLW)
23 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sun 10 AM, minor flooding
Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Observed 1:15 PM EDT at KFKN
Carrsville, VA weather
Overcast and 64°18°, jacket by 7 PM.
Today: low 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°), high 65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°).
Now 64°18°
Cloudy
- Wind
- 10 mph17 km/h
- From the northeast. Up to 10 mph17 km/h through 2 AM
- Dew point
- 47°8°
- Comfortable
- UV tomorrow
- 5Moderate
- Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
- Air today
- 38Good
- EPA forecast · Ozone
- Pressure
- 30.48 inHg1032 hPa
- Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.0 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
2°1° cooler than this time yesterday (66°19° then, 64°18° now)
Good hours for
This afternoonNear 64°18° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 46°8° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 2p | Mostly cloudy | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°) | 60°16° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 54% | 48% | 2 |
| Sat 3p | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 60°16° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 54% | 69% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 56% | 68% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Partly sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 56% | 49% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Mostly cloudy | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 67% | 55% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Mostly clear | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°) | 54°12° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 83% | 26% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 51°11° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 11% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°) | 50°10° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 12% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Partly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 53% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°) | 48°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 21% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°) | 48°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 28% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Partly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 39% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Mostly clear | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 54% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Partly cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 48% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Partly cloudy | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 14% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 17% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 100% | 14% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°) | 45°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 15% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°) | 49°9° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°) | 55°13° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 83% | 5% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°) | 58°14° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 72% | 10% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 61°16° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 63% | 10% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°) | 62°17° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 58% | 15% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°) | 63°17° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 56% | 20% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Partly sunny | 67°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 64°18° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 52% | 39% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Mostly sunny | 65°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°) | 62°17° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 54% | 42% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 61°16° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 56% | 21% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 64% | 8% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 51°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 86% | 8% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 49°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 49°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 2% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 9% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 12% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 12% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 12% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°) | 40°4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 11% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°) | 38°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 8% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°) | 38°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 7% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Sunny | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 7% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Sunny | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 100% | 7% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Sunny | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°) | 43°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 100% | 3% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 50°10° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 77% | 1% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 62% | 0% | 3 |
| Mon 12p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 59°15° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 53% | 0% | 4 |
| Mon 1p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°) | 62°17° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 46% | 0% | 5 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 46°8°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind around 10 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–66°19°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 48°9°
- Wind
- 12 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 39°4°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 47°8°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 67°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 40°4°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind 0 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 39°4°–50°10°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 48°9°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 67°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 40°4°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 53°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 44°7°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 42.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 68°20°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–45°7°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 47°8°
- Wind
- 7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 51°11°. Typical 67°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 45°7°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 70°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 56°13°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 51°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 69°21°–72°22°
- Low, likely
- 40°4°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 47°8°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 67°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 52°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 57°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 49°9°–53°12°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 47°8°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 71°22°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 59°15°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 51°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 69°21°–74°23°
- Low, likely
- 49°9°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 66°19° / 46°8°
- Wind
- 10 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 52°11°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 73°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 58°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 51°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 72°22°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 48°9°–52°11°
- Typical high / low
- 66°19° / 46°8°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 51°11°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 72°22°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 60°15°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 59°15°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 71°22°–74°23°
- Low, likely
- 47°8°–53°12°
- Typical high / low
- 66°19° / 46°8°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 73°23°, low 58°14°. Typical 65°18° / 45°7°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 60°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 73°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 66°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 56°13°–59°15°
- Typical high / low
- 65°18° / 45°7°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 77°25°, low 63°17°. Typical 65°18° / 45°7°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 66°19°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 70°21°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 72°22°–83°28°
- Low, likely
- 60°16°–67°19°
- Typical high / low
- 65°18° / 45°7°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 65°, low 45°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 39°.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 42°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 69–77°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Nansemond River at Suffolk (IN MLLW)
14 mi- Level
- 4.6 ft
Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sun 11 AM, action stage
Reading from Sat 1:12 PM · NWS gauge page
Blackwater River (VA) above Franklin
5.2 mi- Level
- 0.9 ft
- Flow
- 23 cfs
Forecast peak 0.9 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Nottoway River near Sebrell
19 mi- Level
- 3.0 ft
- Flow
- 74 cfs
Forecast peak 3.0 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 55% less heating than a typical week.
This week 25Typical 56
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 18
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 6 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 47°F).
Open the windows?
Today, 3:00 PM–6:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows.
Is this typical?
SUFFOLK LAKE KILBY · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 68°20° / 48°9°
- Forecast high / low
- 65°18° / 45°7°
- Record high
- 84°29° in 2001
- Record low
- 30°−1° in 1952
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 3°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
- −6°−3°SunOct 18
- −5°−3°MonOct 19
- ±0°TueOct 20
- ±0°WedOct 21
- −3°−2°ThuOct 22
- —FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Carrsville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:23 AM, sunset 6:19 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 56 min
- Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 17 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:43–6:35 PM
- Morning 7:06–7:58 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:35–6:45 PM
- Morning 6:56–7:06 AM; first light 6:56 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Mostly clear 4–6:57 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:37 AM · rises 5:15 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
