Observed 4:15 PM EDT at KMFV

Chase Crossing, VA weather

Overcast and 60°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 60°16°

Cloudy

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the east. 610–9 mph14 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Pressure: 30.49 inHg1033 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 46°8° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 9 PM

This afternoonNear 61°16° · Clear
TonightDown to 47°8° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 62°17° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 43°6° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	57°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	58%	24%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	58%	14%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	64%	21%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	72%	25%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	83%	31%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	49°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	89%	21%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	89%	14%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	93%	8%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	93%	30%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	46°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	46°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)	43°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	43°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	96%	4%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	48°9°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	86%	6%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	54°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	69%	7%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	57°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	64%	7%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	59°15°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	60%	6%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	56%	5%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	56%	4%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	52%	2%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	54%	2%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	56%	1%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	2%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	4%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	11%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	5%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	2%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	2%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	77%	2%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	58%	2%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	56%	2%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	54%	2%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	52%	1%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	52%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 10 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 48°9°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 43°6°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind around 9 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 48°9°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 67°19° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 67°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 47°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 67°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
52°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 47°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 66°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 47°8°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
51°11°–56°13°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 55°13°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 46°8°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 59°15°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
57°14°–62°17°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 64°18°. Typical 65°18° / 45°7°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 67°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
60°16°–67°19°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 45°7°
Wind
23 mph37 km/h, gusts 39 mph62 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 45°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 43°.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 49°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 64–71°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chesapeake Bay at Port Isobel/Tangier Island (IN MLLW)

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sun 12 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Nassawadox Creek near Bayford (IN MLLW)

25 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.6 ft

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sun 10 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 3:06 PM · NWS gauge page

Chesapeake Bay near Starling Creek at Saxis (IN MLLW)

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft

Forecast peak 4.1 ft Sun 12 PM, action stage

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Chincoteague Channel near Chincoteague Bay Inlet (IN MLLW)

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.6 ft

Forecast peak 3.6 ft Sun 7 AM, action stage

Reading from Sat 3:05 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 56% less heating than a typical week.

This week 24Typical 55

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 15
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Painter 2 W · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1955–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Chase Crossing weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 53 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 20 min less
Golden hour: 5:37–6:29 PM; Morning 7:03–7:56 AM
Blue hour: 6:29–6:40 PM; Morning 6:53–7:03 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 1–6:54 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:32 AM · rises 5:09 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Chase Crossing. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Chase Crossing, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Chesapeake Bay at Port Isobel/Tangier Island (IN MLLW)

Nassawadox Creek near Bayford (IN MLLW)

Chesapeake Bay near Starling Creek at Saxis (IN MLLW)

Chincoteague Channel near Chincoteague Bay Inlet (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon