Observed 6:35 AM EDT at KCJR

Chester Gap, VA weather

Clear and 37°3°.

Forecasts agree

Now 37°3°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 7 PM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable
Humidity: 93%; Air 37°3°, dew point 36°2° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.52 inHg1034 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (38°3° then, 34°1° now)

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 11 AM
High 60°16° today at 2 PM
Drops 13°7° today 5–8 PM (59°15° → 46°8°)
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Drops 12°7° tomorrow 5–8 PM (64°18° → 52°11°)

This morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 60°16° by 2 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 44°7° by 5 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	13%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	76%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	66%	4%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	59%	2%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	55%	1%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	49%	1%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	49%	1%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	51%	2%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	53%	2%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	7%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	11%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	11%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	13%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	12%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	11%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	13%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	14%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	5%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	9%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	71%	12%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	60%	16%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	58%	21%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	52%	21%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	12%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	54%	12%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	54%	9%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	67%	8%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	83%	4%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	9%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	11%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	13%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	47°8° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	13%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	47°8° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	11%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	46°8° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	10%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	46°8° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	10%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 33°1° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	11%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	45°7° (likely 33°1° to 45°7°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	2%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	44°7° (likely 33°1° to 44°7°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	41°5° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 60°16°, low 38°3°. Typical 65°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 60. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Southeast wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 41°5°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 64°18°, low 40°4°. Typical 64°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 64. South wind around 2 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 40. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. West wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
35°2°–49°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 44°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–51°11°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
71°22°–73°23°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–70°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–54°12°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–73°23°
Low, likely
40°4°–54°12°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–73°23°
Low, likely
39°4°–57°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 40°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 49°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 62–71°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

6.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 459 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 228 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Happy Creek at Front Royal

5.3 mi

Level: 2.3 ft

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Rappahannock River At Crest Hill Road

8.4 mi

Level: 3.0 ft

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 92

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 14 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Sperryville · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1995–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−4°SunOct 18
−6°−3°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
+3°+1°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
+5°+3°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Chester Gap weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:38 PM; Morning 7:14–8:08 AM
Blue hour: 6:38–6:48 PM; Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:48 PM–7:05 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Chester Gap. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,900 ft, 7 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.