Observed 2:15 PM EDT at KSHD

Churchville, VA weather

Sunny and 58°14°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 58°14°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 36Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.52 inHg1034 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (59°15° then, 58°14° now)

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 33°1° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonNear 59°15° · Clear
TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 35°2° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 67°19° by 2 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	45%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	79%	5%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	2%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	8%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	23%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	21%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	43%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	57%	28%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	51%	19%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	16%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	8%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	5%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	2%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	64%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	2%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	17%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	16%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 50°10°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	12%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	1%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	48%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	43%	0%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	40%	0%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 59°15°, low 33°1°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. East wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 2am. Mostly clear, with a low around 33. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 42°6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 33°1°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 70°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog between 8am and 9am. Sunny, with a high near 70. North wind around 1 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
33°1°–42°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 43°6°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 47°8°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
40°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–73°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.49 in12 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 69°20°
  20% chance · 0.23 in5.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  20% chance · 0.22 in5.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–76°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–61°16°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 59°, low 33°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 33°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 42°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 64–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Middle River at Rt 250

1.6 mi

Level: 1.8 ft

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

Peyton's Creek At Gypsy Hill Park

5.9 mi

Level: 0.2 ft

Reading from Sat 2:05 PM · NWS gauge page

Lewis Creek At Church Street

7.2 mi

Level: 0.2 ft

Reading from Sat 1:50 PM · NWS gauge page

Lewis Creek At Mill Street

7.2 mi

Level: 0.8 ft

Reading from Sat 1:50 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 60% less heating than a typical week.

This week 37Typical 93

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 23 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

STAUNTON WATER TREATMENT PLANT · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−9°−5°SunOct 18
−7°−4°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
+3°+2°WedOct 21
+1°ThuOct 22
+2°+1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Churchville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 52 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:50–6:43 PM; Morning 7:17–8:10 AM
Blue hour: 6:43–6:53 PM; Morning 7:07–7:17 AM; first light 7:07 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:53 PM–7:08 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:47 AM · rises 5:23 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Churchville. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,300 ft, 10 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.