Observed 3:55 AM EDT at K8W2

Conicville, VA weather

Clear and 36°2°.

Forecasts agree

Now 36°2°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 4 PM
Dew point: 35°2°; Dry, static shocks likely
Humidity: 96%; Air 36°2°, dew point 35°2° · frost likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 42Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.46 inHg1031 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (36°2° then, 35°2° now)

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 11 AM
Drops 12°7° today 5–8 PM (60°16° → 48°9°)
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Below freezing tomorrow 4–9 AM (low 31°−1°)
Drops 12°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (59°15° → 47°8°)

TonightNear 37°3° · Clear
This morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 60°16° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 32°0° by 4 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 2 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	9%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	8%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	14%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	79%	12%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	66%	7%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	7%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	49%	6%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	44%	6%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	42%	4%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	41%	1%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	49%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	1%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	4%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	69%	6%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	61%	6%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	55%	5%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	49%	6%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	46%	4%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	44%	2%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	48%	1%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	53%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	2%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 60°16°, low 34°1°. Typical 65°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 60. East wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 34. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–60°16°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 32°0°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 63. South wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Southwest wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–39°4°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 41°5°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 40°4°. Typical 64°18° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–66°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–46°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–71°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–55°13°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 61°16° / 35°2°. Rain 0.25 in6.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–72°22°
Low, likely
53°12°–55°13°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 35°2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 34°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 32°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 41°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft
Flow: 324 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Shenandoah River at Cootes Store

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.8 ft
Flow: 57 cfs

Forecast peak 2.8 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 2:15 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork South Branch Potomac River near SF Moorefield

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.1 ft
Flow: 85 cfs

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 2:15 AM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 232 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 2:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 39Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 29
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 24 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 35°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Woodstock 2 NE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1896–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Conicville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:40 PM; Morning 7:16–8:10 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:51 PM; Morning 7:06–7:16 AM; first light 7:06 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 4:35–7:06 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:46 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:20 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Conicville. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,300 ft, 11 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Conicville, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

North Fork Shenandoah River at Cootes Store

South Fork South Branch Potomac River near SF Moorefield

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon