Observed 9:55 AM EDT at KRMN

Falmouth, VA weather

Sunny and 53°11°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 53°11°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the north. Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point: 42°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 1Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.5 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (57°14° then, 53°11° now)

Good hours for

High 64°18° today at 3 PM
Drops 12°7° today 5–8 PM (63°17° → 51°11°)
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Fog tonight 10–11 PM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 64°18° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 37°3° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 44°7° by 9 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	3%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	69%	2%	2
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	60%	18%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	56%	27%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	30%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	29%	3
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	33%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	50%	30%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	62%	27%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	20%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	25%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	22%	0
Sat 10p	Fog	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	57%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 52°11°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	52%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 52°11°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	61%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 51°11°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	52%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 50°10°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	30%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	18%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 49°9°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	41%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	32%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	26%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	27%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	27%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	22%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	22%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	69%	16%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	62%	11%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	54%	7%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	48%	13%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	47%	17%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	47%	45%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	50%	26%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	2%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	5%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	3%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	20%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	22%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	23%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	27%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 37°3°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 64. East wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog between 9pm and 3am, then patchy frost and patchy fog. Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–40°4°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 37°3°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost and patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 37. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
37°3°–47°8°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 45°7°. Typical 65°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 44°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–75°24°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–73°23°
Low, likely
42°6°–55°13°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 55°13°. Typical 63°17° / 43°6°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–77°25°
Low, likely
44°7°–61°16°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 43°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 37°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 47°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Upper Machodoc Creek near Dahlgren (IN MLLW)

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sat 2 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 9:06 AM · NWS gauge page

Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg

3.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 375 cfs

Forecast peak 2.2 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

Rappahannock River at Fredericksburg

1.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.7 ft
Flow: 11,300 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Aquia Creek near Garrisonville

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.5 ft
Flow: 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 54% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 70

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 19 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 42°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Quantico Mcas · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
−3°−2°MonOct 19
+4°+2°TueOct 20
+1°±0°WedOct 21
+2°+1°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Falmouth weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 52 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:36 PM; Morning 7:11–8:04 AM
Blue hour: 6:36–6:46 PM; Morning 7:00–7:11 AM; first light 7:00 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 7–10 PM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:40 AM · rises 5:15 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Falmouth. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 53 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Falmouth, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Upper Machodoc Creek near Dahlgren (IN MLLW)

Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg

Rappahannock River at Fredericksburg

Aquia Creek near Garrisonville

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon