Observed 7:50 AM EDT at KHEF

Flint Hill, VA weather

Sunny and 32°0°.

Forecasts agree

Now 32°0°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Light through 8 PM
Dew point: 32°0°; Dry · up to 41°5° by 10 AM (comfortable)
Humidity: 100%; Air 32°0°, dew point 32°0° · frost likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 46Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 11 AM
High 61°16° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM

This morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 61°16° by 2 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 39°4° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	1%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	74%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	61%	2%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	57%	2%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	53%	2%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	3%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	2%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	48%	3%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	51%	2%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	2%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	71%	5%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	4%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	9%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	10%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	18%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	86%	3%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	16%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	62%	23%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	58%	32%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	54%	37%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	48%	20%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	50%	12%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	50%	12%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	10%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	60%	7%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	2%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	2%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	4%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	6%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	9%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 38°3°. Typical 65°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy frost and patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 61. East wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northeast wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–61°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 64°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 38. Wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
38°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 41°5°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–72°22°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–75°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–53°12°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–75°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–57°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 38°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 48°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 459 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Rappahannock River At Crest Hill Road

4.1 mi

Level: 3.0 ft

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Battle Run near Laurel Mills

7.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.4 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Thornton River at Laurel Mills Road

8.1 mi

Level: 3.0 ft

Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 67% less heating than a typical week.

This week 30Typical 92

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 25
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 13 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 32°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Sperryville · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1995–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−4°SunOct 18
−6°−3°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
+3°+1°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
+5°+3°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Flint Hill weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 51 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:38 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:38–6:48 PM; Morning 7:03–7:14 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:48 PM–7:04 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:43 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Flint Hill. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,700 ft, 16 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.