Observed 3:15 AM EDT at KFRR

Front Royal, VA weather

Clear and 37°3°.

Mostly agree

Now 37°3°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 3 PM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
Humidity: 99%; Air 37°3°, dew point 37°3° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 46Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.44 inHg1031 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (41°5° then, 38°3° now)

Good hours for

Fog today 8–9 AM
Above 50°10° today by 11 AM
High 62°17° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Drops 13°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (63°17° → 50°10°)

TonightNear 38°3° · Clear
This morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 62°17° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 35°2° by 3 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 2 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	15%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	96%	14%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	17%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sat 8a	Fog	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	21%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	10%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	66%	2%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	59%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	51%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	46%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	43%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	44%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	53%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	82%	8%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	14%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	14%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	96%	3%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	5%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	69%	11%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	42%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	54%	51%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	51%	4
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	47%	32%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	47%	15%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	47%	3%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	63°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	54%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	6%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	89%	13%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	15%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	15%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	12%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 62°17°, low 34°1°. Typical 65°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 62. East wind 0 to 3 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog. Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 66°19°, low 36°2°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind around 1 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 36. Southwest wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
38°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 41°5°. Typical 64°18° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 44°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 45°7°. Typical 63°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
68°20°–75°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–76°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–54°12°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 57°14°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°20°
  20% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
56°13°–58°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 34°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 36°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 71°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–73°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

1.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.2 ft
Flow: 440 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 1:15 AM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

9.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 237 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 1:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Happy Creek at Front Royal

0.7 mi

Level: 2.3 ft

Reading from Sat 2:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Passage Creek near Buckton

5.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 34Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Winchester 7 SE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1912–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Front Royal weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:38 PM; Morning 7:14–8:08 AM
Blue hour: 6:38–6:49 PM; Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 3:38–7:04 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:44 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Front Royal. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,000 ft, 33 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Front Royal, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

Happy Creek at Front Royal

Passage Creek near Buckton

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon