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Observed 5:40 PM EDT at KIAD

Great Falls Crossing, VA weather

Sunny and 61°16°.

Today: low 38°3° (likely 37°3° to 38°3°), high 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°).

Mostly agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind
6 mph9 km/h
From the east. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 6 AM
Dew point
39°4°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
4Moderate
Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality
32Good
Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure
30.5 inHg1033 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (63°17° then, 62°17° now)

Good hours for
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
  • Low 39°4° tomorrow at 7 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
  • High 65°18° tomorrow at 3 PM
  1. TonightDown to 41°5° by 4 AM · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 3 PM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
  5. Monday morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
  6. Monday afternoonUp to 69°21° by 3 PM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 6pMostly clear59°15° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h47%23%0
Sat 7pMostly clear55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h55%20%0
Sat 8pClear51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)51°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h68%14%0
Sat 9pClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h74%11%0
Sat 10pClear48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h77%0%0
Sat 11pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)46°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h83%13%0
Sun 12aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h86%15%0
Sun 1aClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)44°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%15%0
Sun 2aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h96%14%0
Sun 3aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%6%0
Sun 4aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)41°5°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h96%5%0
Sun 5aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)41°5°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h92%14%0
Sun 6aMostly clear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h96%18%0
Sun 7aMostly sunny39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%26%0
Sun 8aSunny40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h96%14%0
Sun 9aMostly sunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)44°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h93%8%1
Sun 10aSunny51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h77%3%2
Sun 11aSunny56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)56°13°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h66%4%3
Sun 12pSunny59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)59°15°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h60%3%4
Sun 1pMostly sunny61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h53%16%4
Sun 2pMostly sunny63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h50%10%4
Sun 3pSunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)65°18°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h46%9%4
Sun 4pSunny64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)64°18°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h48%10%3
Sun 5pSunny64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)64°18°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h48%11%1
Sun 6pClear61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)61°16°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h53%2%0
Sun 7pClear58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)58°14°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h59%0%0
Sun 8pClear53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)53°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h74%0%0
Sun 9pClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)50°10°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h80%0%0
Sun 10pClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)48°9°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h86%0%0
Sun 11pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)46°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%1%0
Mon 12aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)45°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h93%0%0
Mon 1aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%1%0
Mon 2aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)43°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h96%1%0
Mon 3aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h100%7%0
Mon 4aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)41°5°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%13%0
Mon 5aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%15%0
Mon 6aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%21%0
Mon 7aSunny39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%23%0
Mon 8aSunny39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%23%0
Mon 9aSunny43°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h93%21%1
Mon 10aSunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h80%6%2
Mon 11aSunny56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)56°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h66%1%3
Mon 12pSunny60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h58%2%4
Mon 1pSunny64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)64°18°0%6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h50%0%4
Mon 2pSunny67°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)67°19°0%6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h47%0%4
Mon 3pSunny69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)69°21°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h45%0%4
Mon 4pSunny69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)69°21°0%6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h45%0%3
Mon 5pSunny69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)69°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h47%0%1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 38°3°. Typical 65°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. East wind 1 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    61°16°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    65°18° / 42°6°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. East wind around 2 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–42°6°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 42°6°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 64°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 1 to 5 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    67°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 41°5°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 41°5°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 64°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 41°5°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 63°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 69°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 63°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 74°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 62°17°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    74°23°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    7 mph10 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 71°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    65°18°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 68°20°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 64°18°

      30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 62°17°

      30% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    64°18°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    50°10°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 58°14°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Rain 0.43 in11 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 71°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    63°17°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–66°19°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 39°4°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 63°, low 38°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 65°, low 38°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 70°, low 47°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 65–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Piney Run at Reston (Northern Sector Pond 1)

0.7 mi
Level
345 ft

Reading from Sat 4:55 PM · NWS gauge page

Colvin Run at Lake Fairfax near Reston

1.2 mi
Level
262 ft

Reading from Sat 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Difficult Run at Browns Mill Road / Wolf Trap

2.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
194 ft

Reading from Sat 2:05 PM · NWS gauge page

Difficult Run near Great Falls

4.2 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.7 ft
Flow
15 cfs

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 28Typical 88

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
22
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 12 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Washington Dulles International Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1960–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
65°18° / 42°6°
Forecast high / low
63°17° / 38°3°
Record high
84°29° in 2001
Record low
15°−9° in 1969

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −6°−3°SunOct 18
  2. −3°−2°MonOct 19
  3. +2°+1°TueOct 20
  4. ±0°WedOct 21
  5. −2°−1°ThuOct 22
  6. −1°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Great Falls Crossing weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:28 AM, sunset 6:18 PM.

Daylight
10 h 50 min
Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour
5:41–6:35 PM
Morning 7:11–8:05 AM
Blue hour
6:35–6:45 PM
Morning 7:00–7:11 AM; first light 7:00 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:45 PM–7 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:40 AM · rises 5:14 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Great Falls Crossing. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 62 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.