Observed 10:05 PM EDT at KCHO

Hollymead, VA weather

Clear and 46°8°.

Forecasts agree

Now 46°8°

Clear

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the north. Light through 10 AM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 22Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 40°4° tonight at 5 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 65°18° tomorrow at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 9 PM

TonightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 71°22° by 3 PM · Clear
Monday nightDown to 54°12° by 9 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	22%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	23%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	86%	31%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	16%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	15%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	93%	40%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	92%	12%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	5%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	13%	0
Sun 7a	Partly cloudy	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	28%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	35%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	30%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	27%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	69%	23%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	62%	21%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	54%	20%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	52%	24%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	50%	18%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	50%	14%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	50%	10%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	56%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	64%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	15%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	16%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	12%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	77%	8%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	62%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	52%	1%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	43%	0%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	40%	2%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	38%	0%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	41%	0%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	44%	0%	2
Mon 6p	Clear	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	49%	0%	1
Mon 7p	Clear	63°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	54%	0%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	62%	1%	0
Mon 9p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	71%	2%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 38°3°. Typical 68°20° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. North wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 45°7°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 35°2°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 35. South wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
35°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 42°6°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 72. Southwest wind around 1 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
4 mph6 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 66°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 43°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 48°9°. Typical 66°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–77°25°
Low, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 43°6°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 65°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 42°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 65°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 68°20°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
52°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 42°6°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 74°23°, low 58°14°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–63°17°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 42°6°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 35°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 72°, low 42°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–77°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rivanna River at Palmyra

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 123 cfs

Forecast peak 2.5 ft Sun 2 AM

Reading from Sat 9:50 PM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Rivanna River at Hollymead near Charlottesville

1.9 mi

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 51 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Preddy Creek At Watts Passage

2.6 mi

Level: 2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 10 PM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Rivanna River near Earlysville

3.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.3 ft
Flow: 24 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 60% less heating than a typical week.

This week 27Typical 68

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 23
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 15 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Charlottesville Albemarle Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1955–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−8°−5°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
−3°−2°WedOct 21
−3°−2°ThuOct 22
−4°−2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Hollymead weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 52 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:40 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:50 PM; Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 4–7 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:20 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Hollymead. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,800 ft, 33 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.