Observed 11:25 AM EDT at KCHO

Keswick, VA weather

Sunny and 55°13°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 55°13°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the north-northeast. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 44°7°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 39Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.5 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

6°3° cooler than this time yesterday (59°15° then, 53°12° now)

Good hours for

High 63°17° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Fog tonight 11 PM–midnight
Fog tonight 1–6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonUp to 63°17° by 2 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 38°3° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 53°12° by 10 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	69%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	6%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	11%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	14%	5
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	24%	4
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	46%	25%	3
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	48%	22%	2
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	55%	18%	1
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	71%	30%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	38%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	21%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	18%	0
Sat 11p	Fog	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	25%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	18%	0
Sun 1a	Fog	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 50°10°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	53%	0
Sun 2a	Fog	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	31%	0
Sun 3a	Fog	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	56%	0
Sun 4a	Fog	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	59%	0
Sun 5a	Fog	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	46%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	29%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	32%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	38%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	51%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	54%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	67%	51%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	60%	33%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	52%	34%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	50%	13%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	49%	16%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	14%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	48%	15%	2
Sun 6p	Mostly clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	56%	16%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	69%	5%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	77%	3%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	9%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	14%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	13%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	93%	14%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	15%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	17%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	96%	20%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	20%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	20%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	20%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	20%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	89%	27%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	74%	0%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 38°3°. Typical 68°20° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Fog, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–40°4°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 45°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 67°19°, low 37°3°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 44.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
36°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 44°7°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 66°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 43°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 48°9°. Typical 66°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 43°6°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 65°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–73°23°
Low, likely
43°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 42°6°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 65°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–74°23°
Low, likely
43°6°–54°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 42°6°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–78°26°
Low, likely
43°6°–59°15°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 42°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 71°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rivanna River at Palmyra

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 132 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 10:20 AM · NWS gauge page

James River (VA) at Scottsville

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.1 ft
Flow: 856 cfs

Forecast peak 3.4 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Rivanna River at Hollymead near Charlottesville

8.1 mi

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 48 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Preddy Creek At Watts Passage

8.5 mi

Level: 2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 56% less heating than a typical week.

This week 30Typical 68

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 25
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 14 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Charlottesville Albemarle Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1955–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−10°−6°SunOct 18
−8°−5°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
−3°−2°WedOct 21
−3°−2°ThuOct 22
−4°−2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Keswick weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 53 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 21 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:40 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:50 PM; Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 9 PM–1 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Keswick. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,100 ft, 22 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.