Chesapeake Bay at Windmill Point (IN MLLW)
8.3 mi- Level
- 2.8 ft
Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 9 AM, minor flooding
Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page
1 active weather alert
Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 4 h 36 min
- When
- Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.
- Where
- Richmond, Lancaster, Middlesex, Mathews, Western Essex and Eastern Essex Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Richmond; Lancaster; Middlesex; Mathews; Western Essex; Eastern Essex
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Observed 7:55 AM EDT at KFYJ
Kilmarnock, VA weather
Sunny and 47°8°.
Today: low 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°), high 62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°).
Now 47°8°
Sunny
- Wind
- Calm
- Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 9 PM
- Dew point
- 44°7°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 0Low
- Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
- Pressure
- 30.49 inHg1033 hPa
- Rising · +0.05 inHg+1.5 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
5°3° warmer than this time yesterday (42°5° then, 47°8° now)
Good hours for
This morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
This afternoonNear 61°16° · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 48°9° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 3 AM · Clear
Monday morningNear 46°8° · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9a | Mostly sunny | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 51°11° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 77% | 32% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Mostly cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°) | 55°13° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 69% | 66% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Mostly cloudy | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 64% | 41% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Mostly cloudy | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 57°14° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 60% | 70% | 3 |
| Sat 1p | Partly sunny | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 58% | 62% | 3 |
| Sat 2p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 58°14° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 58% | 72% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Mostly cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 58°14° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 58% | 51% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 58% | 71% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Mostly cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 60% | 63% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Partly cloudy | 59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 62% | 60% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Partly cloudy | 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°) | 54°12° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 72% | 55% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Partly cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 80% | 31% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 83% | 14% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 51°11° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 86% | 10% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Mostly clear | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 50°10° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 89% | 15% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Mostly clear | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 93% | 18% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Mostly clear | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 96% | 27% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 16% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°) | 48°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 15% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Mostly clear | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 46°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 12% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°) | 45°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 11% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°) | 45°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°) | 45°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 52°11° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 83% | 1% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 75% | 7% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 69% | 12% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 59°15° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 62% | 11% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 62% | 13% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 61°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 58% | 10% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 62°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 54% | 6% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 62°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 54% | 12% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 56% | 8% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 62% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 74% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°) | 51°11° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 93% | 3% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 49°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 93% | 7% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 48°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 93% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h | 100% | 2% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 96% | 1% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 3% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Mostly clear | 45°7° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 6% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Mostly clear | 45°7° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 96% | 9% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 96% | 14% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Sunny | 45°7° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 96% | 19% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Sunny | 45°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 96% | 20% | 0 |
Days ahead
Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly cloudy, 60°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 54°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 48°9°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 9 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 46°8°–54°12°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 47°8°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 64°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 51°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 45°7°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–52°11°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 45°7°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 67°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 54°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. North wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 67°19°–68°20°
- Low, likely
- 40°4°–48°9°
- Wind
- 7 mph11 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 66°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 57°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 65°18°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 47°8°–52°11°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 54°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 57°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 50°10°–55°13°
- Wind
- 10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 67°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 57°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 51°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 50°10°–55°13°
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 52°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 71°22°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 59°15°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 67°19°–74°23°
- Low, likely
- 49°9°–53°12°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 65°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 57°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 49°9°–53°12°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 55°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 67°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 60°16°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 59°15°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 59°15°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 49°9°–56°13°
- Wind
- 12 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 59°15°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 69°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 59°15°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–61°16°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 62°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 45°.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 47°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 64–71°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Action stage
Potomac River at Lewisetta (IN MLLW)
20 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 12 PM, minor flooding
Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Chesapeake Bay at Port Isobel/Tangier Island (IN MLLW)
24 mi- Level
- 2.5 ft
Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sat 11 AM, minor flooding
Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Piankatank River above Wharf Creek near Hudgins VA (IN MLLW)
16 mi- Level
- 2.5 ft
Forecast peak 2.7 ft Sat 9 AM, action stage
Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:22 AM, sunset 6:16 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 54 min
- Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 20 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:40–6:32 PM
- Morning 7:06–7:58 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:32–6:42 PM
- Morning 6:55–7:06 AM; first light 6:55 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Mostly clear 2–6:56 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:35 AM · rises 5:12 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
