Observed 12:45 PM EDT at KCHO

Lake Monticello, VA weather

Mostly sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 59°15°

Mostly sunny

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the east. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 1 AM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Air quality: 32Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.3 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (61°16° then, 56°13° now)

Good hours for

High 62°17° today at 4 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Low 37°3° tonight at 5 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 60°16° · Clear
TonightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 35°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	55%	17%	4
Sat 2p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	49%	23%	4
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	49%	34%	3
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	23%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	51%	20%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	57%	19%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	69%	13%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	48%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	51%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	35%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	54%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	96%	37%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	34%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	56%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	46%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	49%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 49°9°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	60%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	34%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	37%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	49%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	65%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	59%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	67%	41%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	58%	38%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	54%	42%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	25%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	45%	20%	4
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	45%	17%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	48%	21%	2
Sun 6p	Mostly clear	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	56%	40%	1
Sun 7p	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	69%	20%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	10%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	14%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	14%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	20%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	99%	22%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	23%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	34°1° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	97%	25%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	25%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	31%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	74%	12%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	62%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	50%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Tonight: Patchy frost after 5am. Mostly clear, with a low around 36. North wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 34°1°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Patchy frost after 2am. Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southeast wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
34°1°–44°7°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 41°5°. Typical 65°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 71. West wind around 1 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
31°−1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 45°7°
Wind
4 mph6 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 65°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–75°24°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–73°23°
Low, likely
43°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–74°23°
Low, likely
42°6°–54°12°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 63°17° / 43°6°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–78°26°
Low, likely
42°6°–59°15°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 43°6°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 34°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 71°, low 41°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rivanna River at Palmyra

5.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 132 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 12:05 PM · NWS gauge page

James River (VA) at Scottsville

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.3 ft
Flow: 1,060 cfs

Forecast peak 3.4 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

James River (VA) at Cartersville

22 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.4 ft
Flow: 1,080 cfs

Forecast peak 1.5 ft Sun 8 AM

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Hardware River below BRIERY RUN NR SCOTTSVILLE

10 mi

Level: 1.9 ft
Flow: 22 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 54% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 71

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 24
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 17 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Charlottesville 2w · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−8°−4°SunOct 18
−7°−4°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
+5°+3°WedOct 21
+3°+2°ThuOct 22
+5°+3°FriOct 23
−1°SatOct 24

Lake Monticello weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 53 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 21 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:40 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:50 PM; Morning 7:03–7:14 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:50–8 PM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Lake Monticello. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 47 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lake Monticello, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Rivanna River at Palmyra

James River (VA) at Scottsville

James River (VA) at Cartersville

Hardware River below BRIERY RUN NR SCOTTSVILLE

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon