Observed 2:15 PM EDT at KRMN

Lake Wilderness, VA weather

Mostly cloudy and 64°18°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 64°18°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the east-northeast. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 5 PM · peak 5
Pressure: 30.52 inHg1034 hPa; Falling · −0.06 inHg−1.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 64°18° now)

Good hours for

Drops 12°7° tonight 6–9 PM (59°15° → 47°8°)
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 38°3° tomorrow at 7 AM
Fog tomorrow 8–9 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 63°17° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 39°4° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 71°22° by 2 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	27%	4
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	33%	3
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	46%	34%	2
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	51%	28%	1
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	66%	19%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	15%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	14%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	35%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	56%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	58%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	46%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	29%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	24%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	23%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	27%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	31%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	28%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	34%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	37%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	80%	42%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	72%	38%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	62%	37%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	54%	28%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	50%	26%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	48%	23%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	50%	21%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	25%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	60%	9%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	74%	2%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	3%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	24%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	77%	12%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	62%	7%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	50%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	0%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	39%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 37°3°. Typical 67°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. East wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 43°6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 66°19°, low 34°1°. Typical 67°19° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Patchy frost after 4am. Clear, with a low around 34. Wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
34°1°–44°7°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 42°6°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 66°19° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
36°2°–46°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 42°6°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 66°19° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 66°19° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 65°18° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 50°10°. Typical 65°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–75°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–74°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 72°22°, low 61°16°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Rain 0.44 in11 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–77°25°
Low, likely
57°14°–66°19°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 39°4°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 37°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 34°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 71°, low 46°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 366 cfs

Forecast peak 2.2 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Rapidan River near Culpeper

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.8 ft
Flow: 168 cfs

Forecast peak 0.8 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Rappahannock River at Remington

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 233 cfs

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Rapidan River at Germanna Highway

6.1 mi

Level: 1.4 ft

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 60% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 79

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 4:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

FREDERICKSBURG SEWAGE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1995–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Lake Wilderness weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 52 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:37 PM; Morning 7:12–8:05 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:47 PM; Morning 7:01–7:12 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 7–10 PM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:41 AM · rises 5:17 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Lake Wilderness. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 40 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lake Wilderness, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg

Rapidan River near Culpeper

Rappahannock River at Remington

Rapidan River at Germanna Highway

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon