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  • Coastal Flood Advisory

    Ends in 2 h 19 min

    When
    Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.
    Where
    Richmond, Lancaster, Middlesex, Mathews, Western Essex and Eastern Essex Counties.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

    Impacts

    Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

    Precautionary actions

    If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.

    Areas: Richmond; Lancaster; Middlesex; Mathews; Western Essex; Eastern Essex

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 10:55 AM EDT at KFYJ

Lancaster, VA weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Today: low 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°), high 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°).

Mostly agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind
8 mph13 km/h
From the east-northeast. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point
46°8°
Comfortable
UV index
2Low
Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure
30.53 inHg1034 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (61°16° then, 62°17° now)

Good hours for
  • High 62°17° today at 1 PM
  • Low 45°7° tonight at 5 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 60°16° · Partly cloudy
  2. TonightDown to 45°7° by 5 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
  6. Monday morningUp to 51°11° by 10 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 11aMostly cloudy59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)56°13°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h64%29%2
Sat 12pMostly sunny61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)58°14°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h58%31%3
Sat 1pPartly sunny62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)59°15°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h56%51%3
Sat 2pCloudy62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)59°15°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h54%71%3
Sat 3pCloudy62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)59°15°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h54%71%2
Sat 4pPartly sunny62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)59°15°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h54%60%1
Sat 5pCloudy61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)58°14°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h53%68%0
Sat 6pPartly cloudy59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)57°14°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h62%58%0
Sat 7pPartly cloudy56°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h72%50%0
Sat 8pMostly clear53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)52°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h83%25%0
Sat 9pClear52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h86%15%0
Sat 10pClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)49°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h93%6%0
Sat 11pClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h96%6%0
Sun 12aClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h96%6%0
Sun 1aClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h96%8%0
Sun 2aClear49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h100%10%0
Sun 3aClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h100%11%0
Sun 4aClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h100%11%0
Sun 5aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)43°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h100%12%0
Sun 6aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)43°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h100%11%0
Sun 7aSunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)43°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h100%10%0
Sun 8aSunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)43°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h100%10%0
Sun 9aSunny53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)51°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h80%0%1
Sun 10aSunny58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)56°13°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h72%4%2
Sun 11aSunny61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)59°15°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h67%9%3
Sun 12pSunny63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)61°16°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h60%10%4
Sun 1pMostly sunny63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)61°16°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h58%14%5
Sun 2pMostly sunny64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)62°17°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h54%11%4
Sun 3pSunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)63°17°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h50%6%4
Sun 4pSunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)63°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h50%4%3
Sun 5pSunny64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)62°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h52%3%1
Sun 6pClear61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)59°15°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h58%0%0
Sun 7pClear56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)55°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h72%0%0
Sun 8pClear51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)50°10°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h89%1%0
Sun 9pClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)47°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h96%6%0
Sun 10pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)45°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%4%0
Sun 11pClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%0%0
Mon 12aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)42°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%0%0
Mon 1aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%1%0
Mon 2aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h100%2%0
Mon 3aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%4%0
Mon 4aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)40°4°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%7%0
Mon 5aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)38°3°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h99%9%0
Mon 6aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)38°3°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%15%0
Mon 7aSunny39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)38°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%19%0
Mon 8aSunny40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)38°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%21%0
Mon 9aMostly sunny46°8° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)44°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h89%21%1
Mon 10aMostly sunny51°11° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h77%8%2

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 45°7°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 8 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    61°16°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–48°9°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 51°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–49°9°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 49°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind around 3 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 46.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–46°8°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 66°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    65°18°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    47°8°–50°10°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 53°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    50°10°–53°12°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–54°12°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 72°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    69°21°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–51°11°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 66°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    61°16°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–53°12°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 54°12°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 67°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    60°16°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–57°14°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 59°15°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 70°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 60°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    60°16°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    54°12°–61°16°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 63°, low 44°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 66°, low 39°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 69°, low 46°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 65–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chesapeake Bay at Windmill Point (IN MLLW)

13 mi
Minor flooding
Level
3.2 ft

Forecast peak 2.9 ft Sat 12 PM, action stage

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Potomac River at Lewisetta (IN MLLW)

16 mi
Minor flooding
Level
3.1 ft

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Sat 12 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

York River near West Point (IN MLLW)

24 mi
Minor flooding
Level
5.0 ft

Forecast peak 5.0 ft Sun 11 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Piankatank River above Wharf Creek near Hudgins VA (IN MLLW)

20 mi
Action stage
Level
2.7 ft

Forecast peak 2.5 ft Sun 10 AM, action stage

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:23 AM, sunset 6:16 PM.

Daylight
10 h 53 min
Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 20 min less
Golden hour
5:40–6:32 PM
Morning 7:06–7:59 AM
Blue hour
6:32–6:43 PM
Morning 6:56–7:06 AM; first light 6:56 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 8 PM–6:57 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:36 AM · rises 5:12 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking east from Lancaster. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.