Observed 5:55 PM EDT at K8W2

Luray, VA weather

Sunny and 56°13°.

Mostly agree

Now 56°13°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Light through 6 AM
Dew point: 40°4°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 37Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.47 inHg1032 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° cooler than this time yesterday (58°15° then, 56°13° now)

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 35°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

TonightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 5 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 72°22° by 4 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	49%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	96%	13%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	10%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	92%	9%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	2%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	11%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	57%	16%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	53%	29%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	27%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	20%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	21%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	20%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	56%	13%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	66%	3%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	8%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	10%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	8%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	17%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	15%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	7%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	62%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	1%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	45%	0%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	39%	0%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	39%	0%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	35%	0%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	38%	0%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 61°16°, low 32°0°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Patchy frost between 4am and 5am, then patchy frost and patchy fog. Mostly clear, with a low around 32. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–36°2°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 33°1°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost and patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind around 2 mph.
Night: Patchy frost after 5am. Mostly clear, with a low around 33. South wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
33°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 41°5°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 72. South wind around 1 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
4 mph6 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 40°4°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 44°7°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 46°8°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 76.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 74°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–74°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–51°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
48°9°–52°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 70°21°, low 55°13°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.42 in11 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
47°8°–62°17°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 32°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 33°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 72°, low 41°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–76°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

4.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 415 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 5:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Smith Creek near New Market

10 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 26 cfs

Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Shenandoah River near Mount Jackson

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.7 ft
Flow: 147 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Stony Creek at Edinburg

12 mi

Level: 2.8 ft

Reading from Sat 6 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 96

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 40°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Luray 5 E · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1941–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Luray weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 51 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 23 min less
Golden hour: 5:46–6:39 PM; Morning 7:15–8:09 AM
Blue hour: 6:39–6:50 PM; Morning 7:05–7:15 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:53 PM–7:06 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Luray. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,000 ft, 8 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Luray, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

Smith Creek near New Market

North Fork Shenandoah River near Mount Jackson

Stony Creek at Edinburg

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon