Freeze Warning
Ends in 5 h 13 min
When
Until 9 AM EDT this morning.
Where
In Maryland, Carroll, Frederick, Northern Baltimore, and Northwest Harford Counties. In Virginia, Culpeper, Fauquier, and Western Loudoun Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30.
Impacts
Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Precautionary actions
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Areas: Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Northwest Harford; Culpeper; Northern Fauquier; Southern Fauquier; Western Loudoun
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 3:30 AM EDT at KIAD

Middleburg, VA weather

Freeze Warning. 46°8° and overcast now.

Forecasts agree

Now 46°8°

Cloudy

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the west. Light through 3 PM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable · down to 33°1° by 4 AM (dry)
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 58Moderate; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (41°5° then, 41°5° now)

Good hours for

Fog today 4–10 AM
Below freezing tonight 5–9 AM (low 32°0°)
Above 50°10° today by 10 AM
Drops 12°7° tonight 6–9 PM (60°16° → 48°9°)
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM

TonightNear 34°1° · Clear · freezing, low 32°0°
This morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy · freezing, low 32°0°
This afternoonUp to 64°18° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 69°21° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 2 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 4a	Fog	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 43°6°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	18%	0
Sun 5a	Fog	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 43°6°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	45%	0
Sun 6a	Fog	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 42°6°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	49%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	45%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	44%	0
Sun 9a	Fog	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	36%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	77%	15%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	69%	5%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	62%	11%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	56%	11%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	13%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	50%	11%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	50%	9%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	3%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	10%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	14%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	4%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	7%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	8%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	56%	1%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	50%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	47%	3%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	4%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	44%	0%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	0%	2
Mon 6p	Clear	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	52%	0%	0
Mon 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	62%	3%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	25%	0
Mon 9p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	2%	0
Mon 10p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	5%	0
Mon 11p	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	6%	0
Tue 12a	Clear	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	18%	0
Tue 1a	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	49%	0
Tue 2a	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	50%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Fog. High 64°18°, low 32°0°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Widespread frost and patchy fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Widespread frost before 4am, then widespread frost and patchy fog. Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Fog. High 69°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost and patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
35°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 65°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
40°4°–51°11°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 59°15°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  20% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
56°13°–67°19°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Nov 3. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 57°14°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–79°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–60°16°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 32°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 69°, low 45°, warming up.
Tuesday
Dry, high 67°, low 43°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 65–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Goose Creek near Leesburg

9.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft
Flow: 104 cfs

Forecast peak 1.5 ft Sun 8 AM

Reading from Sun 1:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Potomac River at Edwards Ferry

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.7 ft

Forecast peak 3.6 ft Sun 8 AM

Reading from Sun 1:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Goose Creek near Middleburg

3.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.6 ft
Flow: 36 cfs

Reading from Sun 1:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Beaverdam Creek near Mountville

4.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 7 cfs

Reading from Sun 1:50 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 98

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 20
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 16 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

PURCELLVILLE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1900–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−7°−4°MonOct 19
−4°−2°TueOct 20
+1°WedOct 21
−2°−1°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
−4°−2°SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Middleburg weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 48 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:41–6:35 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:45 PM; Morning 7:03–7:14 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 3:47–5 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:53 AM · rises 5:44 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Middleburg. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 46 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Freeze Warning

Middleburg, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Tuesday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Goose Creek near Leesburg

Potomac River at Edwards Ferry

Goose Creek near Middleburg

Beaverdam Creek near Mountville

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon