Observed 1:20 AM EDT at KWAL

Modest Town, VA weather

Clear and 48°9°.

Forecasts agree

Now 48°9°

Clear · Feels like 45°7°

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the north. 711–10 mph16 km/h through 1 PM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
Humidity: 93%; Air 48°9°, dew point 46°8° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Pressure: 30.53 inHg1034 hPa; Steady over the next 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

3°1° warmer than this time yesterday (46°8° then, 49°9° now)

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by 11 AM
High 65°18° today at 3 PM

TonightNear 49°9° · Clear
This morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 62°17° · Clear
TonightDown to 42°6° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 62°17° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 51°11° by 11 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 1a	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	93%	5%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	86%	4%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	5%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	10%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	93%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	93%	16%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	93%	8%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	49°9°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	80%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	54°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	69%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	57°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	64%	7%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	58%	6%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	59°15°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	54%	2%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	61°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	50%	1%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	48%	2%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	52%	2%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	56%	1%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	1%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	1%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	3%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	5%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	7%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	5%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	93%	5%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	6%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	77%	1%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	62%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	57%	1%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	54%	2%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	1%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	50%	2%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	62°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	50%	4%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	52%	3%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	58%	0%	1
Mon 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	62%	0%	0
Mon 7p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	72%	0%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	80%	0%	0
Mon 9p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	0%	0
Mon 10p	Clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 11p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Tue 12a	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 66°19° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 66°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 48. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
38°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 47°8°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
50°10°–53°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 52°11°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
52°11°–58°14°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 64°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 56°13°. Typical 64°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
53°12°–58°14°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 60°16°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
56°13°–62°17°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 63°17°. Typical 63°17° / 45°7°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 71°22°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–74°23°
Low, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 45°7°
Wind
23 mph37 km/h, gusts 39 mph62 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Nov 3. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 62°17°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 68°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–78°26°
Low, likely
62°17°–63°17°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 65°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 48°.
Tuesday
Dry, high 66°, low 50°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 64–73°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chesapeake Bay at Port Isobel/Tangier Island (IN MLLW)

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.9 ft

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sun 12 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sun 1:05 AM · NWS gauge page

Chincoteague Channel near Chincoteague Bay Inlet (IN MLLW)

10 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.8 ft

Forecast peak 3.6 ft Sun 7 AM, action stage

Reading from Sun 12:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Chesapeake Bay near Starling Creek at Saxis (IN MLLW)

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.3 ft

Forecast peak 4.0 ft Sun 12 PM, action stage

Reading from Sun 1:05 AM · NWS gauge page

Chesapeake Bay above Little Annemessex River at Crisfield MD (MLLW)

20 mi

Action stage

Level: 3.1 ft

Forecast peak 3.4 ft Sun 12 PM, action stage

Reading from Sun 12 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 23Typical 64

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 13
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 3 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 11:00 AM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Wallops Island Nasa Test Facility · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1966–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−4°−2°MonOct 19
+1°TueOct 20
−1°WedOct 21
−2°−1°ThuOct 22
−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Modest Town weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 51 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
Golden hour: 5:35–6:28 PM; Morning 7:04–7:56 AM
Blue hour: 6:28–6:38 PM; Morning 6:53–7:04 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 1:42–6:53 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:42 AM · rises 5:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Modest Town. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Modest Town, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Tuesday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Chesapeake Bay at Port Isobel/Tangier Island (IN MLLW)

Chincoteague Channel near Chincoteague Bay Inlet (IN MLLW)

Chesapeake Bay near Starling Creek at Saxis (IN MLLW)

Chesapeake Bay above Little Annemessex River at Crisfield MD (MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon