Frost Advisory
Starts in 2 h 19 min
When
From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Sunday.
Where
Portions of central, northeast, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation.
Impacts
Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Precautionary actions
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Areas: Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Cecil; Northwest Montgomery; Northwest Howard; Northwest Harford; Southeast Harford; Rappahannock; Culpeper; Northern Fauquier; Southern Fauquier; Western Loudoun; Eastern Loudoun; Northwest Prince William; Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 10:15 PM EDT at KOKV

Paris, VA weather

Clear and 41°5°.

Forecasts agree

Now 41°5°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 10 AM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 59Moderate; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.53 inHg1034 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 38°3° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
High 63°17° tomorrow at 5 PM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 9 PM

TonightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 5 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 69°21° by 4 PM · Clear
Monday nightDown to 55°13° by 9 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	9%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	7%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	9%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	92%	10%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	14%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	22%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	24%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	14%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	10%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	4%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	83%	9%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	71%	7%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	66%	13%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	62%	14%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	56%	18%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	54%	17%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	54%	16%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	10%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	62%	3%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	69%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	6%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	26%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	26%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	96%	10%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	9%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 48°9°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	10%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	10%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	7%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 57°14°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	69%	7%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph19 km/h	58%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	54%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	52%	0%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	49%	0%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	0%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	47%	0%	2
Mon 6p	Clear	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	50%	0%	0
Mon 7p	Clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	58%	6%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	64%	25%	0
Mon 9p	Clear	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	2%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 60°16°, low 37°3°. Typical 65°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. South wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–61°16°
Low, likely
36°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 38°3°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
37°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 47°8°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
43°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 63°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 36°2°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 68°20°, low 53°12°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°19°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  20% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 58°14°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.42 in11 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
70°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
56°13°–63°17°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 37°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 38°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 48°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 64–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 450 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sun 8 AM

Reading from Sat 9:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Spout Run near Millwood

5.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 10 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Goose Creek near Middleburg

8.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.6 ft
Flow: 36 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Beaverdam Creek near Mountville

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 8 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:50 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 29Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 24
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 15 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Winchester 7 SE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1912–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Paris weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:37 PM; Morning 7:13–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:48 PM; Morning 7:03–7:13 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10:41 PM–7:04 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:43 AM · rises 5:17 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Paris. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,900 ft, 20 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Frost Advisory

Paris, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

Spout Run near Millwood

Goose Creek near Middleburg

Beaverdam Creek near Mountville

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon