Observed 11:20 AM EDT at KIAD

Purcellville, VA weather

Sunny and 55°13°.

Forecasts agree

Now 55°13°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the north. Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 2Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 55Moderate; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.57 inHg1035 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 61°16° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 35°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonUp to 61°16° by 2 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 50°10° by 10 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	68%	0%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	57%	0%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	49%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	44%	1%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	2%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	3%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	8%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	55%	2%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	66%	5%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	76%	12%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	82%	16%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	11%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	92%	5%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	8%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	86%	12%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	71%	7%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	64%	6%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	59%	9%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	51%	12%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	50%	5%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	48%	5%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	6%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	2%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	7%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	92%	14%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	92%	14%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	14%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	13%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	2%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	1%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 35°2°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog between 2am and 3am, then patchy frost and patchy fog. Mostly clear, with a low around 35. East wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–61°16°
Low, likely
34°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 64°18°, low 37°3°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost and patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 64. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 37. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–40°4°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 45°7°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 68. Northwest wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 45°7°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–72°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–73°23°
Low, likely
39°4°–54°12°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–75°24°
Low, likely
40°4°–59°15°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 45°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Shenandoah River at Millville

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.0 ft
Flow: 1,030 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Goose Creek near Leesburg

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft
Flow: 108 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sun 2 AM

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Goose Creek near Lincoln

4.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft
Flow: 4 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Catoctin Creek near Waterford

6.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.7 ft
Flow: 4 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 96

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

PURCELLVILLE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1900–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−8°−5°SunOct 18
−7°−4°MonOct 19
−4°−2°TueOct 20
+1°WedOct 21
−2°−1°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
−4°−2°SatOct 24

Purcellville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 25 min less
Golden hour: 5:42–6:36 PM; Morning 7:13–8:06 AM
Blue hour: 6:36–6:46 PM; Morning 7:02–7:13 AM; first light 7:02 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:46 PM–7:03 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:42 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Purcellville. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,800 ft, 59 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Purcellville, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Shenandoah River at Millville

Goose Creek near Leesburg

North Fork Goose Creek near Lincoln

South Fork Catoctin Creek near Waterford

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon