Observed 1:45 PM EDT at KCHO

Rivanna, VA weather

Sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 59°15°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/hgusts 28 mph44 km/h; From the northeast. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 26Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.52 inHg1034 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Fog tonight 11 PM–1 AM
Fog tonight 2–3 AM
Fog tonight 4–5 AM
Fog tomorrow 7–9 AM

This afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear
TonightDown to 36°2° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	45%	10%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	45%	14%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	45%	17%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	46%	13%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	53%	11%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	69%	15%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	21%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	15%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	20%	0
Sat 11p	Fog	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	52%	0
Sun 12a	Fog	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	56%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	47%	0
Sun 2a	Fog	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 50°10°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	56%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 49°9°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	43%	0
Sun 4a	Fog	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 49°9°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	59%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 48°9°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	44%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	34%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	37%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	40%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	53%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	52%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	67%	51%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	60%	25%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	52%	34%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	49%	21%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	47%	23%	4
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	17%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	48%	15%	2
Sun 6p	Mostly clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	56%	25%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	69%	8%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	6%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	14%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	93%	13%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	16%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	96%	21%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	96%	20%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	21%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	22%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	26%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	33%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	86%	27%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	74%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	62%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	52%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	47%	0%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 36°2°. Typical 68°20° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 64. East wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog between 11pm and 2am, then patchy frost and patchy fog. Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 45°7°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 67°19°, low 36°2°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost and patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
36°2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 43°6°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 43.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–71°22°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 43°6°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 66°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 43°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Sunny. High 75°24°, low 47°8°. Typical 66°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 43°6°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 65°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 42°6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 65°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 42°6°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 72°22°, low 58°14°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.45 in11 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  20% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  20% chance · 0.34 in8.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–79°26°
Low, likely
49°9°–64°18°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 42°6°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 36°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 71°, low 43°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rivanna River at Palmyra

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 132 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 1:05 PM · NWS gauge page

James River (VA) at Scottsville

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.4 ft
Flow: 1,120 cfs

Forecast peak 3.4 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Rivanna River at Hollymead near Charlottesville

8.6 mi

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 50 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Preddy Creek At Watts Passage

9.7 mi

Level: 2.0 ft

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 55% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 68

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 25
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Charlottesville Albemarle Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1955–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−10°−6°SunOct 18
−8°−5°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
−3°−2°WedOct 21
−3°−2°ThuOct 22
−4°−2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Rivanna weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 53 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 21 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:40 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:50 PM; Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:50–11 PM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:20 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Rivanna. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,400 ft, 23 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.