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Observed 9:35 AM EDT at KFRR

Saumsville, VA weather

Sunny and 43°6°.

Today: low 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°), high 61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°).

Forecasts agree

Now 43°6°

Sunny

Wind
Calm
Light through 10 PM
Dew point
41°5°
Comfortable
Humidity
91%
Air 43°6°, dew point 41°5° · fog or dew likely
UV index
2Low
Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality
56Moderate
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure
30.54 inHg1034 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (45°7° then, 41°5° now)

Good hours for
  • High 61°16° today at 3 PM
  • Drops 13°7° today 5–8 PM (61°16° → 48°9°)
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
  • Below freezing tomorrow 4–9 AM (low 31°−1°)
  • Drops 12°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (60°16° → 48°9°)
  1. This morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Clear
  2. This afternoonUp to 61°16° by 3 PM · Clear
  3. TonightDown to 32°0° by 4 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 4 PM · Clear
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Clear
  7. Monday morningUp to 41°5° by 9 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 10aSunny47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)47°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h74%3%2
Sat 11aSunny53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)53°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h64%9%3
Sat 12pSunny55°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)55°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h59%6%4
Sat 1pSunny58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)58°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h51%7%4
Sat 2pSunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h46%6%4
Sat 3pSunny61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h42%1%4
Sat 4pSunny61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h42%1%3
Sat 5pSunny61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h42%0%2
Sat 6pClear57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)57°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h49%0%1
Sat 7pClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)48°9°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h68%0%0
Sat 8pClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)44°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h79%0%0
Sat 9pClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h82%0%0
Sat 10pClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%2%0
Sat 11pClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%2%0
Sun 12aClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%0%0
Sun 1aClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%0%0
Sun 2aClear35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%4%0
Sun 3aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%11%0
Sun 4aClear32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)32°0°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%10%0
Sun 5aClear32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)32°0°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h100%10%0
Sun 6aClear32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)32°0°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%10%0
Sun 7aClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%10%0
Sun 8aSunny32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)32°0°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%10%0
Sun 9aSunny40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h96%0%1
Sun 10aSunny47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)47°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h79%2%2
Sun 11aMostly sunny53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)53°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h69%9%3
Sun 12pMostly sunny56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)56°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h62%9%4
Sun 1pMostly sunny59°15° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)59°15°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h55%10%4
Sun 2pSunny62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)62°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h50%5%4
Sun 3pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h48%4%4
Sun 4pSunny64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)64°18°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h46%3%3
Sun 5pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h48%4%2
Sun 6pClear60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h55%1%1
Sun 7pClear52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h74%0%0
Sun 8pClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)48°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h86%2%0
Sun 9pClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)45°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h93%6%0
Sun 10pClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%0%0
Sun 11pClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)41°5°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%2%0
Mon 12aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%4%0
Mon 1aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)37°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%6%0
Mon 2aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)36°2°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%6%0
Mon 3aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)36°2°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h100%7%0
Mon 4aClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)34°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%9%0
Mon 5aClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)33°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%9%0
Mon 6aClear34°1° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)31°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%10%0
Mon 7aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)33°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h100%10%0
Mon 8aSunny35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)35°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%15%0
Mon 9aSunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)41°5°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h89%13%1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 31°−1°. Typical 65°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 53°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 44°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 32°0°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 61. East wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Tonight: Patchy fog after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Northeast wind around 2 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    65°18° / 39°4°
    Wind
    7 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 64°18°, low 33°1°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 33. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    62°17°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 38°3°
    Wind
    7 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 41°5°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 70°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. West wind around 3 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    68°20°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 38°3°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 39°4°. Typical 64°18° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    65°18°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 37°3°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 37°3°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 69°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 47°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    69°21°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 37°3°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 74°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    72°22°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 36°2°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    59°15°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 36°2°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 51°11°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    54°12°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 36°2°
    Wind
    7 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 61°16° / 35°2°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 56°13°

      20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 35°2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 61°, low 31°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 64°, low 33°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 71°, low 41°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 64–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

9.4 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.1 ft
Flow
228 cfs

Forecast peak 2.0 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

16 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.3 ft
Flow
497 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8:15 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

20 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.0 ft
Flow
410 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Stony Creek at Edinburg

8.5 mi
Level
2.9 ft

Reading from Sat 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 63% less heating than a typical week.

This week 38Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
28
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 24 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Woodstock 2 NE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1896–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
65°18° / 39°4°
Forecast high / low
61°16° / 31°−1°
Record high
84°29° in 1921
Record low
18°−8° in 1969

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Saumsville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:32 AM, sunset 6:23 PM.

Daylight
10 h 50 min
Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour
5:46–6:39 PM
Morning 7:16–8:09 AM
Blue hour
6:39–6:50 PM
Morning 7:05–7:16 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:50 PM–7:06 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northwest from Saumsville. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,100 ft, 24 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.