Coastal Flood Statement
Starts in 39 min
When
From 10 AM EDT this morning through this afternoon.
Where
In Maryland, Dorchester, Wicomico and Somerset Counties. In Virginia, Accomack County.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline.
Precautionary actions
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Areas: Dorchester; Wicomico; Somerset; Accomack
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 8:54 AM EDT at KWAL

Saxis, VA weather

Sunny and 52°11°.

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the north. 58–9 mph14 km/h through 9 PM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.57 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (52°11° then, 52°11° now)

Good hours for

High 64°18° today at 2 PM
Low 49°9° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by noon

This morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 62°17° · Clear
TonightDown to 50°10° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 56°13° by 5 AM · Clear
Tuesday morningNear 56°13° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 9a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	72%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	67%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	0%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	54%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	1%	3
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	50%	5%	2
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	50%	9%	1
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	52%	9%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	58%	2%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	62%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	53°12° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	53°12° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	74%	3%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	52°11° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	5%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	28%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	51°11° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	40%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	40%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	80%	40%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	50°10° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	40%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	40%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	40%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	33%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	67%	13%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	67%	4%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	62%	5%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	60%	3%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	58%	3%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	56%	2%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	54%	0%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	58%	0%	1
Mon 6p	Clear	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	62%	0%	0
Mon 7p	Clear	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	69%	2%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	78%	0%	0
Mon 9p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	78%	0%	0
Mon 10p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	78%	0%	0
Mon 11p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	78%	0%	0
Tue 12a	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	78%	0%	0
Tue 1a	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	0%	0
Tue 2a	Clear	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	0%	0
Tue 3a	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	2%	0
Tue 4a	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	86%	5%	0
Tue 5a	Clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	90%	9%	0
Tue 6a	Clear	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	33%	0
Tue 7a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	90%	6%	0
Tue 8a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	86%	3%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 66°19° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 48. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 48°9°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 55°13°. Typical 66°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 55. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–55°13°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 47°8°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67. North wind around 12 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 57°14°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
48°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 58°14°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–58°14°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 58°14°. Typical 64°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 60°16°. Typical 64°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
52°11°–60°16°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 46°8°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 59°15°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 64°18°
  20% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
58°14°–60°16°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 62°17°. Typical 63°17° / 45°7°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
59°15°–66°19°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 45°7°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Nov 3. Fog. High 66°19°, low 58°14°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 60°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–71°22°
Low, likely
52°11°–63°17°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 65°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 55°.
Tuesday
Dry, high 67°, low 54°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 65–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chesapeake Bay at Port Isobel/Tangier Island (IN MLLW)

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sun 12 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sun 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Chesapeake Bay above Little Annemessex River at Crisfield MD (MLLW)

8.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.2 ft

Forecast peak 3.4 ft Sun 12 PM, action stage

Reading from Sun 7 AM · NWS gauge page

Chincoteague Channel near Chincoteague Bay Inlet (IN MLLW)

17 mi

Action stage

Level: 4.0 ft

Forecast peak 3.7 ft Wed 10 AM, action stage

Reading from Sun 7:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Chesapeake Bay near Starling Creek at Saxis (IN MLLW)

0.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft

Forecast peak 3.9 ft Sun 12 PM

Reading from Sun 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 77% less heating than a typical week.

This week 15Typical 64

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Wallops Island Nasa Test Facility · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1966–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−4°−2°MonOct 19
+1°TueOct 20
−1°WedOct 21
−2°−1°ThuOct 22
−1°FriOct 23
−2°−1°SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Saxis weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 51 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 19 min less
Golden hour: 5:35–6:28 PM; Morning 7:04–7:57 AM
Blue hour: 6:28–6:38 PM; Morning 6:54–7:04 AM; first light 6:54 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:38 PM–2 AM, but the moon is 100% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:43 AM · rises 5:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Saxis. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Statement

Saxis, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Tuesday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Chesapeake Bay at Port Isobel/Tangier Island (IN MLLW)

Chesapeake Bay above Little Annemessex River at Crisfield MD (MLLW)

Chincoteague Channel near Chincoteague Bay Inlet (IN MLLW)

Chesapeake Bay near Starling Creek at Saxis (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon