Observed 10:35 AM EDT at KOKV

Shawneeland, VA weather

Sunny and 48°9°, 8°4° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 48°9°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the east-southeast. Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 2Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 57Moderate; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (54°12° then, 48°9° now)

Good hours for

High 57°14° today at 4 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Low 36°2° tonight at 4 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonUp to 57°14° by 4 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 36°2° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 61°16° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 51°11° by 10 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	66%	0%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	59%	3%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	52%	1%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	49%	0%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	47%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	45%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	92%	11%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	1%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	68%	4%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	61%	7%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	5%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	51%	4%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	49%	4%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	3%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	51%	2%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	57%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	12%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 50°10°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	9%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 50°10°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	10%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 50°10°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	86%	11%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	85%	12%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 49°9°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	11%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 48°9°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	10%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 35°2° to 48°9°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	82%	11%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	11%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	1%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 57°14°, low 36°2°. Typical 65°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 57. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 4am. Clear, with a low around 36. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
57°14°–58°14°
Low, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 39°4°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 61. South wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 39. Southwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–62°17°
Low, likely
35°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
35°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 62°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 64°18° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–68°20°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 59°15°, low 44°7°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–44°7°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Typical 63°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–71°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–73°23°
Low, likely
39°4°–53°12°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–73°23°
Low, likely
38°3°–58°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 57°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 61°, low 39°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 66°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 59–68°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 223 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 497 cfs

Forecast peak 1.4 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Hogue Creek near Hayfield

3.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.4 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Back Creek Near Gore

4.5 mi

Level: 2.8 ft

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 36Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 29
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 3:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Winchester 7 SE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1912–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 8°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Shawneeland weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 25 min less
Golden hour: 5:45–6:38 PM; Morning 7:15–8:09 AM
Blue hour: 6:38–6:49 PM; Morning 7:05–7:15 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:49 PM–7:06 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Shawneeland. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 41 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Shawneeland, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

Hogue Creek near Hayfield

Back Creek Near Gore

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon