Observed 2:15 PM EDT at KFRR

Shenandoah Farms, VA weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the east. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 32°0°; Dry · up to 40°4° by 8 PM (comfortable)
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 30Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.49 inHg1033 hPa; Falling · −0.06 inHg−2.0 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 60°16° today at 4 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 36°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonNear 59°15° · Clear
TonightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 5 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 67°19° by 2 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	44%	1%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	42%	1%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	47%	6%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	51%	8%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	61%	7%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	76%	6%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 53°12°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	79%	11%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	86%	12%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	93%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 52°11°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	96%	11%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 51°11°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 51°11°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 50°10°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	17%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	12%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	10%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	77%	7%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	15%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	59%	20%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	55%	17%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	15%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	52%	11%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	50%	7%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	2%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	1%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	6%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 53°12°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	11%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 53°12°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 51°11°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	10%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	10%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	15%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	92%	11%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	8%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	59%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	53%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	46%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 60°16°, low 36°2°. Typical 65°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 60. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
58°14°–60°16°
Low, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 38°3°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 40°4°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
35°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. West wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
35°2°–46°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 64°18° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 63°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 36°2°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
66°19°–74°23°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 68°20°, low 52°11°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–73°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 56°13°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.36 in9.1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
47°8°–62°17°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 40°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 46°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–73°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

9.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 526 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 223 cfs

Forecast peak 2.0 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Spout Run near Millwood

6.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 10 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Happy Creek at Front Royal

8.5 mi

Level: 2.2 ft

Reading from Sat 1:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 17 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 32°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Winchester 7 SE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1912–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Shenandoah Farms weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:37 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:48 PM; Morning 7:03–7:14 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:48 PM–7:04 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:43 AM · rises 5:17 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Shenandoah Farms. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,400 ft, 19 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Shenandoah Farms, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

Spout Run near Millwood

Happy Creek at Front Royal

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon