South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray
16 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
- Flow
- 437 cfs
Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 PM
Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Starts in 7 h 27 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
What
Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation.
Impacts
Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Precautionary actions
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Areas: Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Cecil; Northwest Montgomery; Northwest Howard; Northwest Harford; Southeast Harford; Rappahannock; Culpeper; Northern Fauquier; Southern Fauquier; Western Loudoun; Eastern Loudoun; Northwest Prince William; Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 4:55 PM EDT at KFRR
Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.
Today: low 40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°), high 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°).
Now 61°16°
Sunny
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 47% | 7% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 51% | 7% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 63% | 1% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 49°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 68% | 9% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 74% | 9% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 76% | 9% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 86% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 86% | 3% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 89% | 7% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 93% | 7% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 96% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 93% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 93% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 41°5° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 92% | 7% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Mostly sunny | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 43°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 89% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Mostly sunny | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 79% | 41% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Mostly sunny | 53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 53°12° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 71% | 42% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Mostly sunny | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 64% | 47% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Mostly sunny | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 60% | 47% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 54% | 45% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 50% | 35% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Mostly sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 52% | 31% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 54% | 25% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 56% | 21% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 62% | 17% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 72% | 4% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°) | 50°10° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 49°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 93% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°) | 45°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 93% | 1% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 89% | 1% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 89% | 2% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 96% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 93% | 1% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 92% | 2% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 92% | 1% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Sunny | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 83% | 10% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Sunny | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°) | 54°12° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 66% | 9% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 58% | 0% | 3 |
| Mon 12p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 48% | 0% | 4 |
| Mon 1p | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 68°20° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 43% | 3% | 5 |
| Mon 2p | Sunny | 69°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°) | 69°21° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 42% | 0% | 5 |
| Mon 3p | Sunny | 70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 70°21° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 41% | 0% | 4 |
| Mon 4p | Sunny | 70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 70°21° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 42% | 0% | 3 |
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. South wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. South wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. South wind around 1 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Dry, high 62°, low 40°.
Dry, high 64°, low 39°.
Dry, high 71°, low 49°, warming up.
Mostly dry, highs 65–75°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 PM
Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 71% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 10 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).
Sun, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.
Sperryville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:31 AM, sunset 6:22 PM.
Clear 6:49 PM–7:05 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing