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  • Frost Advisory

    Starts in 7 h 27 min

    When
    From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Sunday.
    Where
    Portions of central, northeast, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation.

    Impacts

    Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

    Precautionary actions

    Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

    Areas: Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Cecil; Northwest Montgomery; Northwest Howard; Northwest Harford; Southeast Harford; Rappahannock; Culpeper; Northern Fauquier; Southern Fauquier; Western Loudoun; Eastern Loudoun; Northwest Prince William; Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 4:55 PM EDT at KFRR

Sperryville, VA weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Today: low 40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°), high 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°).

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind
5 mph8 km/h
From the east. Light through 5 AM
Dew point
34°1°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
4Moderate
Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality
38Good
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.47 inHg1032 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (61°16° then, 61°16° now)

Good hours for
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
  • Low 41°5° tomorrow at 7 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
  • High 63°17° tomorrow at 2 PM
  1. TonightDown to 42°6° by 3 AM · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 4 AM · Clear
  5. Monday morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
  6. Monday afternoonUp to 70°21° by 3 PM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 5pSunny59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)59°15°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h47%7%1
Sat 6pClear57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)57°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h51%7%0
Sat 7pClear51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)51°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h63%1%0
Sat 8pClear49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)49°9°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h68%9%0
Sat 9pClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)48°9°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h74%9%0
Sat 10pClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h76%9%0
Sat 11pClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h82%0%0
Sun 12aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h86%1%0
Sun 1aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h86%3%0
Sun 2aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h89%7%0
Sun 3aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h93%7%0
Sun 4aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%9%0
Sun 5aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%9%0
Sun 6aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h93%9%0
Sun 7aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h92%7%0
Sun 8aMostly sunny43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)43°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%20%0
Sun 9aMostly sunny47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)47°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h79%41%1
Sun 10aMostly sunny53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)53°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h71%42%2
Sun 11aMostly sunny57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)57°14°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h64%47%3
Sun 12pMostly sunny59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)59°15°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h60%47%4
Sun 1pMostly sunny62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)62°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h54%45%4
Sun 2pMostly sunny63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h50%35%4
Sun 3pMostly sunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h52%31%4
Sun 4pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h54%25%3
Sun 5pSunny62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)62°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h56%21%2
Sun 6pClear59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)59°15°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h62%17%1
Sun 7pClear55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)55°13°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h72%4%0
Sun 8pClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)50°10°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h83%0%0
Sun 9pClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)49°9°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h83%0%0
Sun 10pClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)47°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h89%0%0
Sun 11pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)46°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h93%0%0
Mon 12aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)45°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%1%0
Mon 1aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)45°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%1%0
Mon 2aClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)44°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h89%0%0
Mon 3aClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)44°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h89%2%0
Mon 4aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h96%0%0
Mon 5aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h93%1%0
Mon 6aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)41°5°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h92%2%0
Mon 7aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)41°5°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h92%1%0
Mon 8aSunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h89%0%0
Mon 9aSunny47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)47°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h83%10%1
Mon 10aSunny54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)54°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h66%9%2
Mon 11aSunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h58%0%3
Mon 12pSunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)65°18°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h48%0%4
Mon 1pSunny68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)68°20°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h43%3%5
Mon 2pSunny69°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)69°21°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h42%0%5
Mon 3pSunny70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)70°21°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h41%0%4
Mon 4pSunny70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)70°21°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h42%0%3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 62°17°, low 40°4°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 42°6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind around 3 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. South wind around 2 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    59°15°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 40°4°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 39°4°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 42°6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. South wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 1 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    61°16°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 40°4°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 70°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. South wind around 1 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 49.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    68°20°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 40°4°
    Wind
    5 mph9 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 69°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–52°11°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 39°4°
    Wind
    5 mph9 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 39°4°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 51°11°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 51°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 39°4°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 53°12°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 61°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    73°23°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 38°3°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 70°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    66°19°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 38°3°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 61°16°

      30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 62°16°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 38°3°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 57°14°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 69°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 62°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    61°16°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    53°12°–63°17°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 37°3°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 62°, low 40°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 64°, low 39°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 71°, low 49°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 65–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

16 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.1 ft
Flow
437 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page

N.F. Thornton River at Lee Highway

1.2 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.5 ft

Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Thornton River at Rudasill Mill Road

3.7 mi
Level
5.0 ft

Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Hughes River at F.T. Valley Road

7.9 mi
Below flood stage
Level
0.8 ft

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 28Typical 96

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
24
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 10 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Luray 5 E · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1941–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Forecast high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Record high
81°27° in 2001
Record low
18°−8° in 1969

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Sperryville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:31 AM, sunset 6:22 PM.

Daylight
10 h 51 min
Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 23 min less
Golden hour
5:45–6:39 PM
Morning 7:14–8:08 AM
Blue hour
6:39–6:49 PM
Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:49 PM–7:05 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Sperryville. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,600 ft, 5 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.