Observed 1:15 PM EDT at KRMN

Stafford Courthouse, VA weather

Partly cloudy and 63°17°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Partly sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the east. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Drops 14°8° today 5–8 PM (63°17° → 49°9°)
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Fog tonight 11 PM–2 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
Drops 12°7° tomorrow 5–8 PM (66°19° → 54°12°)

This afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear
TonightDown to 36°2° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	46%	25%	3
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	45%	23%	3
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	19%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	48%	18%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	57%	21%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	21%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	23%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 53°12°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	24%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	19%	0
Sat 11p	Fog	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 50°10°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	54%	0
Sun 12a	Fog	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 51°11°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	54%	0
Sun 1a	Fog	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 52°11°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	47%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 51°11°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	34%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 49°9°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	19%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 48°9°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	17%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	24%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	30%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	29%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	31%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	26%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	80%	25%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	69%	16%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	60%	12%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	9%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	45%	6%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	45%	8%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	47%	12%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	48%	5%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	60%	1%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	1%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	8%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	17%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	26%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	20%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	67%	13%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	58%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	52%	0%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 36°2°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. East wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog between 9pm and midnight, then patchy frost and patchy fog. Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 37°3°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost and patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 37. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
38°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 45°7°. Typical 65°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 44°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 51°11°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
52°11°–56°13°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 73°23°, low 61°16°. Typical 63°17° / 43°6°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–78°26°
Low, likely
59°15°–67°19°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 43°6°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 48°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 65–73°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg

9.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 366 cfs

Forecast peak 2.2 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Aquia Creek near Garrisonville

5.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.5 ft
Flow: 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Rappahannock River at Fredericksburg

7.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.2 ft
Flow: 8,460 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Quantico Creek at Dumfries

12 mi

Level: 2.6 ft

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 53% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 70

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 19 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 42°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Quantico Mcas · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
−3°−2°MonOct 19
+4°+2°TueOct 20
+1°±0°WedOct 21
+2°+1°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Stafford Courthouse weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 52 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:42–6:35 PM; Morning 7:11–8:04 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:46 PM; Morning 7:00–7:11 AM; first light 7:00 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:46–11 PM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:40 AM · rises 5:15 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Stafford Courthouse. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,000 ft, 54 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Stafford Courthouse, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg

Aquia Creek near Garrisonville

Rappahannock River at Fredericksburg

Quantico Creek at Dumfries

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon