Observed 4:35 AM EDT at K8W2

Stanley, VA weather

Clear and 34°1°.

Mostly agree

Now 34°1°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 5 PM
Dew point: 33°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
Humidity: 96%; Air 34°1°, dew point 33°1° · frost likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 49Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.46 inHg1031 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (36°2° then, 34°1° now)

Good hours for

Fog today 7–10 AM
Above 50°10° today by 11 AM
Drops 12°7° tonight 6–9 PM (57°14° → 45°7°)
Below freezing tomorrow 6–8 AM (low 32°0°)
Drops 12°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (61°16° → 49°9°)

This morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 61°16° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 33°1° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	10%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sat 7a	Fog	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	52%	0
Sat 8a	Fog	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	52%	0
Sat 9a	Fog	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	52%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	40%	1
Sat 11a	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	66%	22%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	61%	6%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	49%	2%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	46%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	44%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	46%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	53%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	1%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 42°6°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 42°6°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sun 9a	Fog	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	17%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	7%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	71%	11%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	62%	27%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	55%	28%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	27%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	23%	4
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	19%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	18%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	56%	8%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	4%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	10%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	13%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	12%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	16%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	15%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 61°16°, low 34°1°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 61. East wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southeast wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 34°1°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind around 1 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
33°1°–42°6°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 40°4°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–76°24°
Low, likely
48°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°22°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–75°24°
Low, likely
55°13°–59°15°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 34°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 34°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 42°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

4.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.0 ft
Flow: 363 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 3:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Naked Creek near Furnace

9.9 mi

Level: 2.5 ft

Reading from Sat 4:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Smith Creek near New Market

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 27 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page

Robinson River at Quaker Run Road

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.4 ft

Reading from Sat 4:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 61% less heating than a typical week.

This week 37Typical 96

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 28
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 22 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 33°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Luray 5 E · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1941–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Stanley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 51 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 23 min less
Golden hour: 5:46–6:40 PM; Morning 7:15–8:09 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:50 PM; Morning 7:05–7:15 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 5:27–7 AM; moon 96% lit but below the horizon.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Stanley. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 7 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Stanley, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

Naked Creek near Furnace

Smith Creek near New Market

Robinson River at Quaker Run Road

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon