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Observed 6:35 AM EDT at KSHD

Stuarts Draft, VA weather

Foggy and 31°−1°.

Today: low 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°), high 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°).

Forecasts agree

Now 31°−1°

Fog

Wind
Calm
Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 7 PM
Visibility
3 mi4 km
Fog · under 3 mi5 km
Dew point
31°−1°
Dry · up to 39°4° by 10 AM (comfortable)
Humidity
100%
Air 31°−1°, dew point 31°−1° · frost likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure
30.51 inHg1033 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (35°2° then, 35°2° now)

Good hours for
  • Fog until 10 AM
  • Above 50°10° today by noon
  • High 59°15° today at 3 PM
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
  • Low 34°1° tonight at 5 AM
  1. This morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  2. This afternoonUp to 59°15° by 3 PM · Clear
  3. TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Partly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 7aFog36°2° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)36°2°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h89%50%0
Sat 8aFog35°2° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%49%0
Sat 9aFog39°4° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h92%46%0
Sat 10aSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)44°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h82%23%1
Sat 11aSunny49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)49°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h74%7%2
Sat 12pSunny53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h64%3%3
Sat 1pSunny55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h57%2%4
Sat 2pSunny58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h49%2%4
Sat 3pSunny59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h45%1%3
Sat 4pSunny59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h45%1%2
Sat 5pSunny58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h45%0%1
Sat 6pClear55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h53%0%0
Sat 7pClear50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h63%0%0
Sat 8pClear48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)48°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h68%0%0
Sat 9pClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)45°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h79%4%0
Sat 10pClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)42°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h89%8%0
Sat 11pClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h96%7%0
Sun 12aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h96%6%0
Sun 1aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%10%0
Sun 2aClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%11%0
Sun 3aClear35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h100%15%0
Sun 4aClear35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h100%21%0
Sun 5aClear34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%15%0
Sun 6aClear34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%13%0
Sun 7aClear34°1° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%12%0
Sun 8aSunny34°1° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h100%12%0
Sun 9aSunny40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%18%1
Sun 10aSunny46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)46°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h83%15%2
Sun 11aMostly sunny51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h74%21%3
Sun 12pPartly sunny55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)55°13°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h64%48%4
Sun 1pMostly sunny58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)58°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h57%54%5
Sun 2pMostly sunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h51%36%5
Sun 3pMostly sunny62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)62°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h50%27%4
Sun 4pPartly sunny63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h48%23%3
Sun 5pSunny62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)62°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h50%17%2
Sun 6pClear60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)60°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h53%10%1
Sun 7pClear54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)54°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h66%7%0
Sun 8pClear50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h77%2%0
Sun 9pClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)48°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h83%1%0
Sun 10pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)46°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h86%2%0
Sun 11pClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h93%6%0
Mon 12aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)42°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h93%9%0
Mon 1aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h96%8%0
Mon 2aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h96%7%0
Mon 3aMostly clear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)40°4°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h92%8%0
Mon 4aMostly clear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h92%6%0
Mon 5aMostly clear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h92%3%0
Mon 6aMostly clear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)37°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%5%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 59°15°, low 34°1°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Fog, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 59°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 59. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Tonight: Patchy fog after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 34. East wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    56°13°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–42°6°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 42°6°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 63°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. East wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Southeast wind around 2 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    60°16°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 41°5°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 44°7°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind around 2 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    66°19°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 41°5°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 43°6°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    65°18°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 41°5°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    60°16°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    67°19°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 73°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    71°22°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    47°8°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 61°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    60°16°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 40°4°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 66°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 53°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 39°4°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 65°18°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–58°14°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 39°4°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 59°, low 34°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 63°, low 36°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 69°, low 44°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 63–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South River at Waynesboro near Lyndhurst Road

7.4 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.3 ft
Flow
24 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Back Creek at Sherando

5.2 mi
Level
3.3 ft

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Christians Creek at Brand

6.6 mi
Level
4.6 ft

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

South River at Lyndhurst Rd

8.1 mi
Level
2.2 ft

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 61% less heating than a typical week.

This week 36Typical 93

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
26
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 31°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

STAUNTON WATER TREATMENT PLANT · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
64°18° / 42°6°
Forecast high / low
59°15° / 34°1°
Record high
84°29° in 1899
Record low
19°−7° in 1969

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −9°−5°SunOct 18
  2. −7°−4°MonOct 19
  3. −1°TueOct 20
  4. +3°+2°WedOct 21
  5. +1°ThuOct 22
  6. +2°+1°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Stuarts Draft weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:33 AM, sunset 6:26 PM.

Daylight
10 h 53 min
Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 21 min less
Golden hour
5:50–6:42 PM
Morning 7:17–8:10 AM
Blue hour
6:42–6:53 PM
Morning 7:06–7:17 AM; first light 7:06 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:53 PM–7:07 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:47 AM · rises 5:22 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking south from Stuarts Draft. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 8 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.