Pagan River at Smithfield Station (IN MLLW)
16 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
Forecast peak 3.6 ft Sun 10 AM, minor flooding
Reading from Sat 7:05 PM · NWS gauge page
Observed 7:20 PM EDT at KAKQ
Surry, VA weather
Clear and 54°12°.
Today: low 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°), high 64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°).
Now 54°12°
Clear
- Wind
- Calm
- Light through 7 AM
- Dew point
- 48°9°
- Comfortable
- UV tomorrow
- 5Moderate
- Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
- Air quality
- 31Good
- Main pollutant: Ozone
- Pressure
- 30.49 inHg1033 hPa
- Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
TonightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 68°20° by 2 PM · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7p | Clear | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 80% | 12% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 52°11° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 3% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 50°10° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 13% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Partly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 49°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 29% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 100% | 28% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 100% | 23% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Partly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 100% | 15% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 100% | 8% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 100% | 8% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Partly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 100% | 22% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 100% | 11% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 50°10° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 96% | 7% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 55°13° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 80% | 7% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 58°14° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 72% | 13% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 61°16° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 62% | 10% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°) | 61°16° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 58% | 19% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 62°17° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 54% | 13% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 63°17° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 52% | 9% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°) | 62°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 52% | 6% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 56% | 2% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 64% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 51°11° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 100% | 4% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 100% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°) | 45°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°) | 44°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 8% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 100% | 21% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 18% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 20% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 21% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Sunny | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 34% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Sunny | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 44% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 89% | 68% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Sunny | 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 52°11° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 71% | 27% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 60% | 2% | 3 |
| Mon 12p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 52% | 1% | 4 |
| Mon 1p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 63°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 45% | 1% | 5 |
| Mon 2p | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 39% | 1% | 5 |
| Mon 3p | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°) | 66°19° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 39% | 1% | 4 |
| Mon 4p | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°) | 67°19° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 37% | 1% | 3 |
| Mon 5p | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 67°19° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 37% | 1% | 2 |
| Mon 6p | Clear | 62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 50% | 1% | 0 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 47°8°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 47°8°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 48°9°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 41°5°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 47°8°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 66°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 49°9°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 42°6°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 41. Northeast wind 0 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 65°18°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 48°9°
- Wind
- 11 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 68°20° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 42°6°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 56°13°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 49°10°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. North wind around 2 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 42°6°–45°7°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 47°8°
- Wind
- 6 mph9 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 67°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 69°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 57°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 67°19°–72°22°
- Low, likely
- 48°9°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 47°8°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 51°11°. Typical 67°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 52°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 67°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 58°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 65°18°–68°20°
- Low, likely
- 50°10°–54°12°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 46°8°
- Wind
- 10 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 73°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 67°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 59°15°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 53°12°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 68°20°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 50°10°–54°12°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 46°8°
- Wind
- 6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 52°11°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 52°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 73°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 60°16°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 54°12°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 76.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 70°21°–76°24°
- Low, likely
- 49°9°–54°12°
- Typical high / low
- 66°19° / 46°8°
- Wind
- 5 mph8 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 54°12°. Typical 66°19° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 71°22°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 57°14°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 68°20°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 66°19° / 46°8°
- Wind
- 8 mph12 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 57°14°. Typical 66°19° / 45°7°. Rain, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 58°15°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 75°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 65°18°20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 65°18°20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 72°22°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–59°15°
- Typical high / low
- 66°19° / 45°7°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 74°23°, low 62°17°. Typical 66°19° / 45°7°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 66°19°20% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 74°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 68°20°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–69°21°
- Typical high / low
- 66°19° / 45°7°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 64°, low 47°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 41°.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 45°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 68–76°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
James River (VA) at Jamestown/Scotland Ferry (IN MLLW)
6.2 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
Forecast peak 3.7 ft Sun 12 PM, action stage
Reading from Sat 6 PM · NWS gauge page
Chesapeake Bay near Yorktown (IN MLLW)
21 mi- Level
- 3.5 ft
Forecast peak 4.1 ft Sun 9 AM, action stage
Reading from Sat 7 PM · NWS gauge page
James River near Jordan Point below Hopewell (IN MLLW)
25 mi- Level
- 2.8 ft
Forecast peak 4.3 ft Sun 3 PM, action stage
Reading from Sat 6:45 PM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 57% less heating than a typical week.
This week 24Typical 56
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 16
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).
Open the windows?
Sun, 11:00 AM–6:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows.
Is this typical?
WILLIAMSBURG 2 N · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1951–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 68°20° / 48°9°
- Forecast high / low
- 64°18° / 47°8°
- Record high
- 84°29° in 2001
- Record low
- 27°−3° in 1952
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 4°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
- −7°−4°SunOct 18
- −6°−3°MonOct 19
- −1°TueOct 20
- −2°−1°WedOct 21
- −2°−1°ThuOct 22
- −3°−2°FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Surry weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:23 AM, sunset 6:18 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 55 min
- Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:42–6:35 PM
- Morning 7:07–7:59 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:35–6:45 PM
- Morning 6:57–7:07 AM; first light 6:57 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Mostly clear 12–6:58 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:37 AM · rises 5:14 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
