Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 2 h 11 min
When
Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.
Where
Richmond, Lancaster, Middlesex, Mathews, Western Essex and Eastern Essex Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Richmond; Lancaster; Middlesex; Mathews; Western Essex; Eastern Essex
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 10:55 AM EDT at KXSA

Tappahannock, VA weather

Mostly cloudy and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 59°15°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 7 mph11 km/hgusts 14 mph22 km/h; From the northeast. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV index: 2Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (59°15° then, 59°15° now)

Good hours for

High 63°17° today at 2 PM
Low 41°5° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM
Drops 12°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (62°17° → 50°10°)
Fog Monday 7–9 AM

This afternoonUp to 63°17° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 50°10° by 10 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	55°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	64%	27%	2
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	58%	38%	3
Sat 1p	Mostly cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	54%	65%	4
Sat 2p	Mostly cloudy	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	50%	52%	3
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	52%	67%	3
Sat 4p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	50%	80%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	51%	80%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	60%	60%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	69%	25%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	47%	0
Sat 9p	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	44%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	20%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	6%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	21%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	14%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	19%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	21%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	20%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	14%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	86%	1%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	72%	2%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	67%	4%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	58%	20%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	54%	15%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	50%	17%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	47%	13%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	47%	3%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	21%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	56%	14%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	72%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 51°11°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 50°10°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	18%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	30%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 48°9°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	33%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	35%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	35%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 7a	Fog	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	62%	0
Mon 8a	Fog	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	57%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 52°11°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	35%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	8%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 40°4°. Typical 68°20° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 64. East wind around 8 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Northeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 36°2°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Night: Patchy frost after 5am. Clear, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
36°2°–49°9°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
35°2°–47°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 65°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–76°24°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 43°6°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 65°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–73°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–56°13°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 43°6°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 57°14°. Typical 64°18° / 43°6°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–77°25°
Low, likely
51°11°–60°16°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 43°6°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 40°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 36°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 47°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rappahannock River at Tappahannock (IN MLLW)

2.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 1 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Potomac River at Lewisetta (IN MLLW)

23 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 3.1 ft

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Sat 12 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Piscataway Creek near TAPPAHANNOCK

3.1 mi

Level: 6.1 ft
Flow: 6 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Mattaponi River near Beulahville

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 130 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 56% less heating than a typical week.

This week 28Typical 65

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 22
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 14 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Warsaw 2 NW · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Tappahannock weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 53 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 21 min less
Golden hour: 5:41–6:34 PM; Morning 7:08–8:01 AM
Blue hour: 6:34–6:44 PM; Morning 6:58–7:08 AM; first light 6:58 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–6:59 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:38 AM · rises 5:13 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Tappahannock. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,900 ft, 25 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory